Displaying items by tag: Shares
What happened to Tianrui Cement?
17 April 2024The stock market price of Tianrui Cement crashed by a staggering 99% last week. On 9 April 2024, during the last 15 minutes of trading at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the price of shares in the company dropped from around US$0.64 to below US$0.01. Its market capitalisation swung from US$1.8bn to US$18m in a quarter of an hour. The cement producer then suspended trading shares the following morning. It said trading would remain halted until it made a formal announcement about the situation. At the time of writing that announcement is still forthcoming. The question on everyone’s minds is, “What happened?!”
On its website Tianrui Cement describes itself as “one of the 12 national cement enterprises supported by the Chinese government.” It is part of Tianrui Group and it listed itself on the Hong Kong Exchange in late 2011. By the end of 2020 it had 22 clinker production lines and 59 cement grinding units with a total cement production capacity of just under 58Mt/yr. It describes itself as the “leading clinker producer in Henan and Liaoning Provinces” and the ninth biggest clinker producer by capacity in the country.
Unfortunately, as reported by Global Cement Weekly earlier in April 2024, the cement market in China was tough in 2023. This has continued into the first quarter of 2024 with cement output falling by 12% year-on-year to 337Mt. Tianrui Cement, like many other China-based cement producers, reported falling sales and profits in 2023. Its revenue decreased by 29% year-on-year to US$1.09bn from US$1.58bn and it made a loss of US$87.6m compared to a profit of US$62m. Its cement sales volumes fell by 9% to 25.2Mt and it noted that the average price also fell by 22%. It blamed the fall in revenue on the lower volumes and prices. Profits and earnings suffered in turn as it couldn’t cut its costs fast enough.
Aside from the general poor state of the property market in China there has been little information about what actually happened to Tianrui Cement on 9 April 2024. Reuters reported speculation amongst financial sources that the company may have become subject to a margin call. In this situation an investor that has borrowed money to invest in shares has to provide additional funds if the value of the shares fall below a certain point. Bloomberg said that the controlling shareholder Li Liufa and his spouse jointly own approximately 70% of the company. It noted the risks of companies with a high concentration of shareholders and those that use shares as debt collateral. In this situation a large sale of shares could potentially trigger a panic as there might not be enough buyers.
Within China the Financial Associated Press (CLS) reported that three other companies listed on the Hong Kong Exchange had also experienced severe stock market volatility at the same time as Tianrui Cement. None of these other companies are in the building materials sector. Following the drop in its share price, Tianrui Cement told local media that the company was operating normally. Its spokesperson wondered whether the plunge in share value was due to small shareholders selling up. Coverage of local media by the China Cement Association explored the theory that the market was jittery about the poor state of the cement industry in China. Suspicions about the company’s debt structure were also raised.
From a western point of view the meteoric rise of the cement industry in China over the last 20 years has always carried the fear of a hard landing once the period of growth ended. The trick for the government and cement manufacturing is how to transition to lower levels of cement production without causing a recession. So, extreme stock volatility for a major cement producer in China is exactly what a cynical external observer might expect. China has a couple of exit routes up its sleeve though from the state-controlled nature of its economy, to how it approaches its net zero commitments, to the unreliability of its data, to exporting production capacity overseas and so on. This leaves us waiting to see what Tianrui Cement has to say to the market about what happened and what happens next. One share price crash for a cement producer might be forgivable. Two, however, might be seen as a sign of something else.
Boral backs Seven Group Holdings' raised takeover bid
12 April 2024Australia: Boral has endorsed Seven Group Holdings' (SGH) increased takeover offer after the bidder enhanced its proposal. According to Business News Western Australia, Boral is now recommending its shareholders accept SGH's offer, previously rejected in March 2024. The offer has risen from an initial US$0.98/share to a maximum of US$1.11/share. An on-market buyback is also an option at up to US$4.19/share, with total shareholder value estimated between US$4.02 and US$4.17.
Boral's independent corporate advisory company, Grant Samuel, now finds the offer ‘reasonable’. SGH has increased its stake in Boral to 78.8% and proposes further governance adjustments by adding two more executives to Boral's board.
Managing director of SGH, Ryan Stokes, said "We are pleased to offer Boral shareholders the maximum consideration under our offer. Both new and existing SGH shareholders also stand to benefit from the US$0.20/share fully franked dividend that SGH will pay following completion of the offer." The offer period is extended to 15 May 2024.
China Tianrui Group Cement's shares plunge by 99%
11 April 2024China: Shares of China Tianrui Group Cement plummeted by 99% in just 15 minutes before Hong Kong’s stock market closed on 9 April 2024, according to Reuters. This led to a decrease in the market value of the company, to US$17m from US$1.86bn. The cause of the sudden drop remains unknown and trading in Tianrui shares is suspended pending an announcement on ‘inside information’.
In the 2023 financial year, the company recorded a net loss of US$45.8m, compared to its US$62m net profit in 2022. This downturn is partly attributed to the struggles in China's property sector.
Holcim initiates share buyback programme
20 March 2024Switzerland: Holcim launched a share buyback programme on 18 March 2023. The programme, totalling Euro1.03bn, will run until the end of 2024. Share cancellation is scheduled for approval at the group’s annual general meeting in May 2025. Holcim plans to finance the buyback from its existing cash reserves. It says that it remains committed to retaining a strong investment grade credit rating.
Sarbottam Cement concludes initial public offering
19 March 2024Nepal: Sarbottam Cement's initial public offering (IPO) concluded on 8 March 2023, with the company issuing 13% of its capital. SSPro News has reported that this corresponds to a value of US$35m. Of the issued shares, 40% were allocated to qualified institutional investors. The issue was oversubscribed by a factor of 18.
The last traded price of Sarbottam Cement’s shares had risen by 10% on its first trading day on 19 March 2024.
Holcim to separate and list North American Business
29 January 2024North America: Holcim has announced plans for a full capital market separation of its North American business. Subject to shareholder approval, it will subsequently list the business in the US in the first half of 2025. The group will communicate the final structure of the separation, which it expects to execute as a spin-off, later in 2024. Reuters has reported that Holcim chair and chief executive officer Jan Jenisch said that the North American business may attract a valuation of US$30bn upon listing, with Holcim retaining no stake. The business recorded an estimated earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin of over 27% in 2023. Following the US listing of the business, Holcim itself expects to continue its inclusion in the Swiss Market Index in Switzerland.
Jenisch said “Holcim has reached a new level of financial performance and a superior earnings profile with industry-leading margins and a strong balance sheet. The success of our North American business makes it the leading pure-play building solutions company in the region. With a US listing, we will unleash its full potential to be the partner of choice for our customers in one of the world’s most attractive construction markets. As we fully capitalise on the region’s infrastructure and construction boom, we will accelerate growth and unlock value for our stakeholders.”
Femi Otedola acquires US$6.73m-worth stake in Dangote Cement
23 January 2024Nigeria: Investor Femi Otedola has reported making a ‘significant acquisition’ of shares in Dangote Cement. The Premium Times newspaper has reported the value of the newly acquired shares as US$6.73m.
Femi Otedola said “Dangote Cement's unique position with two export terminals offers a substantial opportunity to earn foreign exchange, crucial for Nigeria's economy. This, along with the company's pan-African presence, makes it an ideal investment choice."
Saudi Arabia: Qassim Cement Company has informed investors of its intention to acquire Hail Cement Company outright via a submission on the Saudi Exchange. As part of its offer, Qassim Cement Company plans to increase its own share capital by 23%, in order to issue some of it to Hail Cement Company’s shareholders.
JSW Cement prepares for initial public offering
11 January 2024India: JSW Group has initiated the process for an initial public offering (IPO) for JSW Cement. The Financial Express newspaper has reported that the group expects the IPO to raise US$723m.
CRH looks south
20 December 2023We end 2023 with the news that CRH and Barro Group are preparing to acquire AdBri in Australia. The two companies have teamed up to buy all the ordinary shares in the building materials company that they do not already own for about US$750m. Barro already owns a 43% stake in AdBri and CRH owns just under 5% via a cash settled derivative. The plan is for CRH to buy the remaining shares so it ends up with a 57% holding in total. It requires shareholder approval at AdBri, regulatory consent and other conditions to be met to move forward.
Barro Group has been increasing its stake gradually in AdBri over the last 25 years. It hit 43% in 2019 and subsequently the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) investigated it. Barro Group’s course was cleared in 2020, with the ACCC determining that the acquisition would not ‘substantially lessen’ competition in the market between the two companies that overlap for the supply of cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates. It also found Barro and AdBri would continue to face competition locally from Boral, Holcim and Hanson. However the ACCC added that it might reopen its investigation if it received further information that altered its conclusion at that time.
The dynamic between Barro Group and AdBri is complicated because they are, at present, both partners and rivals. Barro owns a significant minority stake in AdBri, and its managing director, Raymond Barro, became the chair of the latter company in 2019. The two companies operate a joint venture, Independent Cement and Lime, which distributes cement and lime in Victoria and New South Wales, and runs a slag cement grinding plant in Melbourne. They sell goods to each other too. Yet Barro Group and AdBri also compete against each other, principally in the sale of concrete. Comments made by Raymond Barro to the Australian Financial Review newspaper indicate that this competition looks set to continue even if CRH and Barro Group buy AdBri, given the family ownership structure of the former company. To this end AdBri set up a governance framework for its board in 2015 in part to handle the interaction between the business interests of itself and Barro Group, and this was further revised in 2019. Due to this convoluted relationship, it set up an independent board committee to assess the current proposal from CRH and Barro Group with Barro family nominee directors removed from the consideration process. It then approved the proposal to the next step of negotiations.
The general consensus is that the CRH-Barro Group deal looks likely to succeed. CRH has a limited presence in Australia and Barro Group’s ownership of AdBri doesn’t seem to change much under the limited details released publicly about the proposal. Potential problems could arise from a rival bidder, if the ACCC decided to re-evaluate the situation or if the Foreign Investment Review Board became involved, but we’ll have to wait and see about these. AdBri owns two of the country’s five clinker plants, both in South Australia. Subsidiary Cockburn Cement also used to produce clinker at its Munster plant in Western Australia but this moved over to grinding-only in the mid-2010s. The company also runs three grinding plants. One of these, Cockburn Cement’s Kwinana plant, has been undergoing a costly upgrade project that overshot its original estimate. Purely in terms of active integrated cement production capacity, this places the deal at US$875/t, a high figure but not as much as CRH stumped up to buy Martin Marietta Materials’ South Texas business in November 2023.
This then leads to how CRH and Barro Group might interact running the business in the future. CRH is by far the bigger company, in charge of a multinational building materials concern, and among the world’s largest producers of cement and concrete outside of China. Its decision to make a large acquisition outside of Europe and North America marks a turning point in its growth strategy since the late 2010s. In a statement, CRH’s head Albert Manifold was quick to compare how Australia was “similar in nature to the Southern US and Central and Eastern Europe where we have a significant presence.” Barro Group, meanwhile, has doggedly been taking over AdBri bit by bit over a quarter of a century. What it gains from the current proposal is mostly unknown, but simplifying the ownership structure and delisting from the Australian Stock Exchange could offer a number of advantages to it. Their ambitions appear aligned for the moment but this may not stay the case forever.
That’s it from Global Cement Weekly for 2023. Enjoy the seasonal break if you have one. Global Cement Weekly will return on 3 January 2024.