India: The credit ratings agency ICRA has predicted that cement demand is likely to increase by 6% year-on-year in the 2016 – 2017 financial year from 5% in the previous period due to a government focus on developing infrastructure and better weather. The growth in demand is also likely to lead to higher prices, especially in the northern and eastern states. Infrastructure development is expected to arise from road and house building.
"With the pace of new capacity addition slowing down, we expect capacity utilisation and the supply-demand scenario to show an improvement, especially in the 2017 – 2018 fiscal year, which should support cement prices and profitability indicators for cement manufacturers," said ICRA Ratings’ Senior Vice-President Sabyasachi Majumdar.
ICRA report that growth in demand for cement slowed to 3.4% in April and May 2016 from 9 – 13.5% in January to March 2016. It attributed this to weak rural demand, especially in Maharashtra, and a slowdown in infrastructure development partly due to a drought. However, demand grew faster in north and east India.