Displaying items by tag: Forecast

China: Anhui Conch recorded a 4.7% year-on-year decline in its consolidated sales to US$26.4bn in 2021 from US$27.7bn in 2020. Its net profit was US$5.23bn, down by 5.3% from US$5.52bn. Anhui Conch attributed the decline to decreased cement demand. Its fuel and power costs increased by 30% in 2021. The producer forecast continued low market demand and high raw material and energy costs for the duration of 2022.

During the reporting period the group’s cement sales volumes fell by 9.8% to 409Mt. It increased its clinker, cement and concrete production capacities by 7.2Mt to 269Mt/yr, by 14.3Mt to 384Mt/yr and 10.5Mm³ to 14.7Mm³. It also installed photovoltaic power plants with a capacity of 200MW. By region, it said that market demand remained stable in East, Central and South China, although sales volumes declined slightly. However, it noted insufficient market demand in West China. The group’s export sales volumes fell by 43% but volumes and sales by its international subsidiaries grew by 7.5% and 5.3% respectively.

World: Market Research Future has forecast a 15% composite annual growth rate (CAGR) in global green cement demand between 2018 and 2023, where green cement is defined as fly ash cement, slag cement, geopolymer cement and other cements produced using alternative raw materials. Market Research Future predicts that fly ash cement’s global growth will be the sharpest due to its abundant availability. Its report concluded that cement sector strategies in response to the growth would include mergers, joint ventures and acquisitions.

India: The Indian cement industry's sales volumes will rise by 18 - 20% year-on-year in the 2022 financial year and surpass 2020 financial year pre-Covid-19 outbreak levels by 6%, according to ratings agency ICRA. The Press Trust of India has reported that, in the first nine months of the 2022 financial year, fuel and electricity costs rose by 31%, raw materials costs by 12% and logistics costs by 5%. This offset a 5% net sales rise to result in an operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (OPBITDA) per tonne of cement of US$14.70/t, down by 10% year-on-year. ICRA forecast a further decline in full-year OPBITDA per tonne of 16 - 18% to US$13.50 - 13.80/t in the 2022 financial year.

Australia: Boral has updated the market that ‘exceptional’ wet weather on the East coast of Australia ‘significantly’ disrupted its New South Wales and South East Queensland operations in February and early March 2022. The Australian newspaper has reported that CEO Zlatko Todorcevski has forecast that the disruption to cement production and deliveries will have a negative impact of US$17.1m on the producer’s earnings in the first quarter of 2022. Coal and diesel costs have also risen ‘sharply’ so far in the quarter, to partly offset which the company has raised its cement prices. It now forecasts full-year earnings from continuing operations, excluding property, of US$108 – 115m.

China: China Tianrui Group has forecast its full-year profit and total comprehensive income as US$187m - 218m in 2021. This corresponds to a 30 - 40% year-on-year decline from its US$312m profit and comprehensive income in 2020. The company attributed the expected decrease to a year-on-year rise in coal prices and decline in cement prices, the latter due to flooding-related demand disruptions in Henan Province.

US: The former Lehigh Hanson Redding cement plant is the subject of a new acquisition deal. Martin Marietta has now agreed to sell the plant, which is in California, and related cement terminals to CalPortland for US$250m. The deal also covers 14 ready-mix concrete locations. The parties have also established arrangements for any future agreement for the sale of Martin Marietta’s Tehachapi cement facility and its related cement distribution terminals. Martin Marietta acquired both plants from Lehigh Hanson in October 2021.

CalPortland’s parent company Taiheiyo Cement said that the acquisition will enable it to build a supply system to meet the growing demand for cement in northern California, Oregon and Nevada. It added that the Redding Plant is an important plant in northern California, which its expects can improve customer satisfaction through an investment to develop more efficient systems. The company concluded “As a result, we expect steady growth in revenue and profits for Taiheiyo Cement’s US cement and ready mixed concrete businesses, which in turn will contribute to the achievement of the medium-term management plan from fiscal years 2022 to 2024.”

Germany: Vecoplan Group has recorded its highest ever new order intake of Euro180m in 2021, up by 60%. The company said that its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) for the year also set a company record.

CFO Michael Lambert said “Internationalisation is picking up speed. In line with this, we are implementing new sales and service centres throughout the world. Additional locations in various countries and regions are being planned.” He added “In 2022, we will be putting the spotlight on our digitalisation strategy and investing several million euros in software and hardware.”

CEO Werner Berens added a note of caution: “In spite of the good prospects for the new year, supply chains will continue to be disrupted by global factors like supply bottlenecks, raw material shortages and logistics problems. We too must show that we are able to deal with these big challenges.”

Japan: Sumitomo Osaka Cement recorded sales of US$1.19bn in the first nine months of the 2022 financial year, down by 22% year-on-year. The company’s net profit was US$71.7m. For its full-year 2022 financial year, the group forecast sales of US$1.61bn, down by 22% from full-year 2021 financial year levels. It expects full-year net profit to drop by 32% to US$69.2m.

Japan: Taiheiyo Cement recorded consolidated sales of US$4.57bn in the first nine months of the 2022 financial year, down by 24% year-on-year from US$5.65bn in the corresponding period of the 2021 financial year. The group’s net profit in the period was US$256m, down by 20% year-on-year from US$322m. Dow Jones Institutional Newswires has reported that the producer forecast full-year sales in the 2022 financial year of US$6.15bn and a net profit of US$294m.

Germany: HeidelbergCement recorded sales of Euro18.7bn in 2021, up by 6.3% year-on-year from Euro17.6bn in 2020. The group says that the growth exceeds its anticipated ‘slight increase’ in sales. Sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 were Euro4.7bn, up by 4.4% from Euro4.5bn in the fourth quarter of 2020. The company announced a preliminary result from current operations of Euro2.61bn, up by 11% from Euro2.36bn in 2021.