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Too much cement in Nigeria?

25 April 2012

Nigeria: This week has seen a major development in the Nigerian cement industry, with a call from domestic manufacturers to ban cement imports, three months ahead of the government's schedule for the ban. The call has been presented in some quarters as proof that the country, long blighted by high cement imports, has achieved President Goodluck Jonathan's bold target of making Nigeria a net exporter of cement before 2013. In the face of steadily diminishing oil revenues the government would like Nigeria to be known as the regional cement exporter, but what else might happen?

According to the Cement Manufacturers' Association of Nigeria (CMAN), the country's total cement capacity now stands at 22.5Mt/yr. Domestic consumption is estimated at 18.5Mt/yr, translating into a required capacity utilisation rate of 82%. It is bizarre, therefore, that cement producers feel the need to call for an import ban. Perhaps:

a) The producers know that they can't compete with the low cost of imports from outside Nigeria,

b) The producers want to recoup their plant investment costs as quickly as possible,

c) The producers know that they can't export if the country continues to import.

With notoriously poor transport links within Nigeria, option c may be a small factor. If road and rail links are poor, transport costs increase and exports become less desirable for both the supplier and the end-user. What is more likely however, is a combination of a and b. Producers need to recoup their investments but can't if China and India can undercut them from thousands of miles away. If the desire to recoup investments goes unchecked when the import ban comes in, there is a high potential for cartel-like behaviour to surface again in the country.

One does not have to look back far to the last major incident of apparent cement market cartelisation in Nigeria. In mid-2011 President Jonathan had to step in and personally call for a 25% price reduction. His target was hit within three months, but since then prices have slowly started to rise again, even with Dangote's Ibese 6Mt/yr plant coming online just three months ago! With four producers committed to setting up a 3Mt/yr plant each by 2015 in exchange for 2011 import licences, the supply of cement in Nigeria will continue to rise, making the temptation to collaborate even stronger.

Published in Analysis
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Madras Cements promotes Dharmakrishnan to CEO

25 April 2012

India: Madras Cements has promoted its executive director for finance, A V Dharmakrishnan, to chief executive officer.

"A V Dharmakrishnan has been designated as chief executive officer of the company with effect from 1 April 2012," the Chennai-based cement maker said in a BSE filing.

Dharmakrishnan is a chartered accountant who began his career with Madras Cements in 1982. He has been an additional director at Rajapalayam Mills and Ramco Systems since 2008 and serves as a director On-Time Transport Company Limited. In addition he is a member of Institute of Chartered Accountants of India.

Madras Cements is the flagship company of the diversified Ramco Group and it produces 13Mt/yr at its five manufacturing plants across Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. Apart from cement, Ramco Group has presence in real estate, paper production, hardware and stainless steel.

Published in People
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