Displaying items by tag: GCW623

The first half of 2023 has continued to be a tough period for the major China-based cement producers, with revenue and profits down for many. As CNBM put it, the sector is facing production overcapacity, weak demand, high inventory, low prices and declining profits. However, not every company has followed this trend, with a few such as Anhui Conch, Huaxin Cement and Tapai Group managing to hold operating income up and the latter somehow even managing to increase its net profit. The China Cement Association (CCA) in its financial coverage has memorably described these companies that have bucked the national picture as ‘dark horses.’

Graph 1: Sales revenue from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports. Note: For CNBM, cement revenue shown only.

Graph 1 above summarises the situation for a selected group of cement producers. Anhui Conch avoided the fate of CNBM by managing to grow its non-cement revenue, specifically from aggregates and concrete. Yet it too was unble to avoid its net profit falling by 32% year-on-year to US$928m in the first half of 2023 from US$1.37bn in the same period in 2022. Huaxin Cement pulled off the same trick by raising its concrete and aggregates revenue domestically and by growing its overseas revenue. As well as its subsidiaries in Africa, the company also added Oman Cement to its portfolio, completing the acquisition of a majority stake in April 2023. The CCA has a wider roundup of how well the local cement companies have done.

Graph 2: Cement output in China, 2019 to first half of 2023. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China suggests that the cement sector is stagnating rather than actively declining. This is an improvement of sorts from the decline in the first half of 2022, at least. Cement output in the first half of 2023 rose ever so slightly to 980Mt from 979Mt in the same period in 2022. On a rolling annual basis cement output has been gently falling below 1% each month since November 2022, although it rose by nearly 1% in March 2023.

The underlying problem for the Chinese cement sector remains the local real estate market. Developer Country Garden has been the latest company to warn of potential losses – of up to US$7.6bn – in the first half of 2023. It is also currently attempting to ask for more time to repay a bond. This follows the financial problems that Evergrande has faced since 2021. Financial analysts have been monitoring the situation for several years and warning of what a larger collapse in the sector could mean for the wider economy, such as the implications for the banks that hold the debts of the developers. Commentary by Goldman Sachs in August 2023, for example, suggested that the real estate sector needs to manage its inventory on a large scale, with over US$2Tn in liquidations, in order to restructure debts in the property sector. It estimated that the whole situation could reduce the country’s entire gross domestic product (GDP) by 1.5% in 2023, although this would be the trough of the downturn in its view.

Cement producers in China continue to be held hostage by the conditions in the real estate market and the effect this has in turn on demand for building materials. Yet all is not lost, as the examples of the CCA’s ‘dark horses’ show, buoyed by business diversification, overseas expansion or even regional differences. How much longer the rest of the other cement companies can cope in this environment remains to be seen. A less regulated market would certainly expect to see mergers and acquisitions taking place as the financial pressure mounts. China, for now at least, remains steadfastly different. With luck the real estate market may reach its lowest point in 2023 and a recovery could follow.

India: Dalmia Cement (Bharat) has appointed Puneet Dalmia as its managing director (MD) and chief executive officer (CEO). He will succeed Mahendra Singhi in the role in December 2023. Singhi will remain working for the company as Director and Strategic Advisor to the MD and CEO to aid the transition process.

Puneet Dalmia has been the MD of Dalmia Cement (Bharat)’s parent company Dalmia Bharat since 2004. Prior to this co-founded JobsAhead.com in 1999, which was sold to Monster.com in 2004. Dalmia is also the chair of the Development Council for Cement Industry (DCCI), set up by the Government of India in June 2021. He holds a master of business administration (MBA) postgraduate degree from IIM-Bangalore and holds a bachelor of technology degree from IIT-Delhi.

Thailand: Siam Cement Group (SCG) has appointed Thammasak Sethaudom as its president and chief executive officer. He will succeed Roongrote Rangsiyopash, following his resignation, from January 2024. Thammasak has also been appointed as the president of Cementhai Holding Company. Surachai Nimlaor the president of SCG’s cement division will also be appointed to president of the division from the start of 2024.

Thammasak has worked for SCG for over 30 years in a variety of financial and investment positions, primarily in the chemicals business. Prior to this, he was the general director of Long Son Petrochemicals. He holds a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering from Chulalongkorn University, a master of business administration (MBA) postgraduate degree from the London Business School and has also attended Harvard Business School’s Advanced Management Program.

Australia: Adbri recorded sales of US$599m during the first half of 2023, up by 14% year-on-year. Its net profit grew by 13%, to US$33.7m. The producer noted continued ‘solid’ demand, and traction on its price increases. It faced high capital requirements for its on-going upgrade of its Kwinana grinding plant to consolidate its Western Australian operations there. The company expects its second-half 2023 earnings to rise ‘moderately’ due to the effects of its cost discipline and price increases, as well as sustained levels of cement demand.

India: UltraTech Cement has awarded a contract to Vibrant Energy to build a 21.6MW wind farm in Maharashtra. The wind farm will provide energy for UltraTech Cement’s cement plants in the state.

Saur Energy has reported that Vibrant Energy chief executive officer Srinivasan Viswanathan, said “We are excited to partner with UltraTech and accelerate their green energy transition. This partnership marks a significant step towards a sustainable and carbon-neutral future. This will act as a catalyst for transforming not just the cement industry, but other energy-intensive industries as well.”

France: The French cement sector association, France Ciment, has called on the government to make ‘heavy investments’ in the industry amid its on-going transition to net zero CO₂ cement production. It estimated the total cost of its transition, which will include carbon capture, at Euro3.5bn,according to Les Echos newspaper. The association said that producers currently benefit from the government’s partial price cap on electricity for industrial plants. It sought clarity as to whether the cap will remain in force beyond its scheduled limit in 2025. Lafarge France said that capped prices covered 50 – 60% of its electricity consumption in 2022.

Vietnam: State-owned Vicem Ha Tien has despatched its first shipment of cement to the US. The Vietnam government says that Vicem Ha Tien will continue to further diversify its markets.

Domestic-focused cement producers like Vicem Ha Tien have experienced increased competition in the past year due to a slowdown in the Chinese market.

Mexico: Construction activity grew by 29% year-on-year during the first half of 2023. Local press has reported that this is its sharpest increase since reporting began in 2006. Major infrastructure projects reportedly drove the growth. These include the Mayan Train, Isthmus Train and Mexico-Toluca Interurban Train railway projects and the Olmeca oil refinery project.

As a result, Cemex and GCCs’ share prices have been the fastest and seventh fastest growing respectively on the main index of the Mexican Stock Exchange.

China: CNBM’s sales from its cement businesses fell by 16% year-on-year to US$6.14bn in the first half of 2023 from US$7.34 in the same period in 2022. Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped by 39% to US$991m from US$1.63bn. The group’s sales volumes of cement and clinker fell by 1% to 127Mt and 15% to 15.4Mt respectively. Sales volumes of concrete decreased by 10% to 35.6Mm3 from 39.5Mm3. Overall the group’s sales fell by 8% to US$14bn and its adjusted EBITDA by 27% to US$2.03bn.

The company said that its building materials division faced weakening demand, high inventory, low prices and declining profits. It noted that industry overcapacity remained high, despite supply-side structural changes, and that although the price of coal was declining it was insufficient to offset the fall in cement prices and profit in turn.

China: Anhui Conch grew its concrete and aggregate sales in the first half of 2023 to increase overall sales. Its revenue grew by 16% year-on-year to US$8.99bn in the first half of 2023 from US$7.73bn in the same period in 2022. However, its cement and clinker sales fell by 7% to US$6bn from US$6.46bn. Sales revenue fell in all of its domestic sales regions, although they rose overseas. By contrast, sales and trading of other products more than doubled to US$2.7bn. The group’s sales volumes of cement and clinker increased by 3% to 134Mt. Its total profit fell by 32% to US$928m from US$1.37bn.

In its interim results the company said that it had “actively responded to the complicated and difficult industry situation and strived to overcome the impact of unfavourable factors such as declining real estate investment, sluggish market demand and intensified industry competition.”