Displaying items by tag: Indocement

Indonesia: Semen Indonesia forecasts that domestic cement consumption will grow at a rate of 5 – 7% year-on-year in 2018, a lower rate than the level of 7.8% recorded for the first 11 months of 2017. Semen Indonesia corporate secretary Agung Wiharto said that the prediction was based on continued demand for cement from government infrastructure projects, according to the Jakarta Post. The company also took other factors - such as inflation, political stability and market confidence - into account in its sales projection. Indocement has also forecast a cement consumption growth rate of 5 – 6% in 2018. Both companies reported reduced earnings in the third quarter of 2017.

Indonesia: PT Indocement, the second-largest cement producer in Indonesia, has reported a poor quarterly result amid stiff competition and lower cement prices. Its profit for the first quarter of 2017 was down by 53.8% to US$37.5m, despite the fact that its revenue only fell by 14.1% to US$248m.

Indocement president director Christian Kartawijaya attributed the slump to tight competition in the domestic market from other producers, such as Karawang-based PT Jui Shin and Banten-based PT Cemindo Gemilang, which frequently sell cement at lower prices. "The profit decline is inevitable amid very tight competition. Meanwhile, the cake is getting smaller, so we've experienced the decline in profits and revenue," said Christian.

Indocement, a part of major diversified conglomerate Salim Group, also cited persistent cement oversupply in the domestic market this year, while demand was estimated to rise by only 5% year-on-year to 65Mt. This pushed down the cement price by 12% in the January-March period compared to the first quarter of 2016. "As long as there is an oversupply, we can't avoid a price war," Christian added.

Despite a gloomy outlook throughout this year, the company has still earmarked a sizeable US$128m sum for capital expenditure for expansion, although the figure is still 5.9% lower than 2016. Its key projects include the development of cement terminals and cement packaging terminals in Sumatra and other undetermined sites. Christian also said Indocement would also go ahead with its plan to construct a cement factory in Pati, Central Java, which is subject to public controversy because of claims that there is no legal basis to execute it.

Holcim Indonesia inaugurated a new cement terminal in Lampung last week. Unfortunately, the spectre of industry overcapacity haunts the country at present and the subsidiary of LafargeHolcim may be late to the party. The Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) has been publicly warning the government of overcapacity since the end of the summer. Its first line of action has been to lobby for restrictions on producer permits to slow the growth of new plants.

ASI figures show that cement sales in September 2016 fell by 3.3% to 5.64Mt compared to August 2016 due to lower residential sector demand. Domestic cement sales rose by 2.95% year-on-year to 44.7Mt in the first nine months of 2016 and the ASI expects sales growth of 3 – 4% for 2016 overall. Yet, the risk of overcapacity is stark. Cement production capacity has nearly doubled from 59.3Mt/yr in 2012 to 92.7Mt/yr in 2016 but demand is projected to only reach 65Mt in 2016, leaving a production oversupply of 27.7Mt. Regional consumption has fallen in Jakarta, Banten and West Java, particularly in the first two. Elsewhere, it has grown, particularly in Central Java, as well as Yogyakarta and East Java to a lesser extent.

Initial Global Cement Directory 2017 research places active production capacity at 66.3Mt/yr suggesting that the ASI may be exaggerating the risk of overcapacity. The additional c30Mt/yr capacity arises from plants that have been proposed, that are actually under construction or that have been mothballed. However, the ASI data should be more accurate as it represents the local producers. Either way, capacity is growing faster than consumption as can be seen in graph 1.

Graph 1: Cement consumption and production capacity in Indonesia, 2012 – 2016. Source: Indonesian Cement Association, Global Cement Directory 2012 – 2017.

Semen Indonesia, the country’s largest producer, reported that its revenue fell very slightly to US$1.4bn in the first nine months of 2016 and its net profit fell by 8.4% to US$215m. It blamed this on a fall in sales volumes and prices due to rising competition. The other large producers have said similar in the past. Indocement, the country’s second largest producer after Semen Indonesia, saw its revenue fall by 11.9% to US$837m in the first nine months of 2016 and its profit fell by 2.2% to US$231m. LafargeHolcim described the market as affected by overcapacity and ‘a difficult competitive environment.’

Back in May 2016 a feature on the predicament facing the Indonesian cement industry in the Jakarta Post suggested that producers were building new capacity despite the risks of overcapacity to win market share. Cement producers are about to find out whether this will work or not. Meanwhile it seems unlikely that the measures the ASI is suggesting will do much to alleviate the looming crisis. Still, on the positive side, it’s looking like a good time to buy cement as a consumer.

For more information about the cement industry in Indonesia view the first part of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) feature in the October 2016 issue of Global Cement Magazine

Indonesia: Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa has purchased stakes in marine transport services firm Lintas Bahana Abadi through the company's subsidiaries, Bahana Indonor and Indomix Perkasa. The acquisition is expected to support Indocement's business activities, particularly in the marine transport segment, according to Indonesia Finance Daily.

“Bangun Sukses Niagatama Nusantara will divest its shares in Lintas Bahana Abadi to Bahana Indonor and Indomix Perkasa for US$2.1m. The acquisition is fully funded from the two subsidiaries' internal cash,” said Christian Kartawijaya, President Director of Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa. Lintas Bahana will become a subsidiary that is indirectly owned by Indocement.

Take a moment to spy on the Citeureup cement plant in Indonesia. It's gargantuan! The Indocement site is one of the largest cement factories on the world. It has nine production lines with a cement production capacity of 11.9Mt/yr.

The news this week that Indocement intends to stop production at three cement production lines at its Citeureup plant strikes an uncertain tone. The decision underpins the impression of a readjusting Indonesian cement market despite the HeidelbergCement subsidiary saying that the capacity will be replaced by a new 4.4Mt/yr line at the site at the end of 2015. Temporarily reducing production capacity by 35% may not seem much on a industrial site that can produce more cement than many countries! However, a single factory this massive is likely to be particularly vulnerable to market changes.

Zooming out to the national picture, Indocement reported that its revenue dropped by 6.6% year-on-year for the first half of 2015. Domestic sales volumes of cement fell by 8.1% as domestic cement consumption in the country generally fell by 4.2%. The cement producer blamed the falls on economic stagnation and delayed government spending on infrastructure projects.

In its outlook Indocement lamented the loss of subsidies on electricity and fuels in Indonesia. Back in 2014 the government raised electric prices via a tariff under the previous administration before lowering them slightly. Then the new government raised fuel prices in November 2014 by removing subsidies with the intention of siphoning the savings to infrastructure spending. At the time a Semen Indonesia representative told the Jarkata Post that he expected cement sales to rise by 6% in 2015. This estimate had already followed a downward adjustment of predicted sales in 2014 due to familiar sounding delays in infrastructure projects (due to an election year) and a slowing economy.

In addition to this the government also imposed price cuts on cement on state-run producers in January 2015. Semen Indonesia then saw its domestic sales volumes fall by 5.3% in January – May 2015 to 9.91Mt. Subsequently Semen Indonesia saw its net profit drop by 21% year-on-year to US$163m for the first half of 2015. Around a month before its mid-year results it reported to local media that it was concentrating on exports in 2015. Reported exports have risen by over 700% to 0.18Mt in January – May 2015. Other producers such as LafargeHolcim have also reported 'challenging' market conditions. Nationally, cement demand dropped by 3.8% year-on-year to 22.9Mt for the first five months of 2015 according to Indonesian Cement Association data. This was the biggest fall since 2009.

All in all it sounds like the good times may be gone for the Indonesian cement industry, at least for now. The local economy as a whole is in a recession following two consecutive quarters of declining growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Yet cement producers are still forlornly hoping for infrastructure spending to kick in. Throw in worries about the effects of a US interest rate rise on Indonesian borrowing and the situation is looking dicey. Indocement's Citeureup complex may seem even more outsized in a year's time.

UPDATE:  A reader has pointed out that we linked the aerial photo at the start of this article to the smaller of the two cement plants in the area. This has now been changed. Note the trucks queuing to enter the plant.

Indonesia: Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, part of Germany's HeidelbergCement, has secured shareholder approval to pay 94% of the company's 2014 profits, about US$382m, as dividends. Indocement booked US$403m in profits in 2014, a 5.2% increase from US$383m in 2013. During 2014, its net revenues totalled US$1.47bn, an increase from US$1.43bn in 2013.

President director Christian Kartawijaya said that net revenues had dropped by 3.8% year-on-year to US$331m in the first quarter of 2015 due to a decline in demand. He said that he hoped sales would increase in the second quarter, during which the government was expected to begin major infrastructure projects. "The recent cement price cut by the government affected our business, but it was not so bad because we were also able to cut costs," said Kartawijaya.

President Joko Widodo instructed state-run Semen Indonesia to lower the price of cement in January 2015, a move that led to private cement companies lowering their selling prices to keep up with competition. Indocement lowered its average cement prices by 4%. However, it also reduced its operational costs, including energy costs, distribution and logistics costs to compensate the fall in prices.

According to Indocement, domestic cement consumption grew by 3.3% in 2014, slower than the 5.5% growth seen in 2014, as the election year led to the postponement of a number of projects. Kartawijaya predicted that the number would grow to 3.5% until the end of the second quarter of 2015. In 2014, Indonesia's cement oversupply was 7Mt. This is expected to rise to 15Mt in 2015. "The demand slowdown will continue until the end of the second quarter if the government does not begin large-scale infrastructure projects," said Kartawijaya. The Indonesia Cement Association (ASI) has predicted that the Indonesian cement industry would see an increase of 6% in 2015 due to the government's large-scale projects, including new toll roads, railways, deep seaports and water dams.

Indocement has allocated US$344m in capital expenditure (capex) for 2015, higher than last year's US$298m. The capex will be used to finish its new US$153m plant in Pati, Central Java, while the rest would be invested in its gas turbine projects. Kartawijaya said that the new plant in Pati would start operating in the fourth quarter of 2015 and is expected to have 4.4Mt/yr of cement production capacity, boosting the firm's annual capacity up to 25Mt/yr.

Indonesia: PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk is preparing to invest US$150m towards building two greenfield cement plants in North Sumatra and in Pati, Central Java respectively. Each plant will have a cement production capacity of 2.5Mt/yr. The company is currently conducting a feasibility study, said Indocement's president director Christian Kartawijaya. The investment is intended to boost the company's production by 2018 in reaction to decreasing market share.

Indocement aims to boost its production capacity by about 45% to 30Mt/yr in 2018 when the two greenfield plants are expected to have begun operations. Currently the company produces 20.6Mt/yr of cement. The new plants will maintain the company's market share in Indonesia at 31%. The company will source the funding internally.

Indocement has allocated US$385m for capital expenditure in 2014 to boost cement production. In October 2013 the company started work on its 4.4Mt/yr cement plant at Citeureup. This plant is planned to start operation in the fourth quarter of 2015.

Indonesia: PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk has predicted that cement demand will increase in 2014. Indocement corporate secretary Sahat Panggabean pinned the prediction on increasing infrastructure and real estate projects in 2014.

In order to meet market demand Indocement is currently building a 4.4Mt/yr cement plant in Citeureup. The company is also in the process of seeking licenses for the two 2.5Mt/yr greenfield cement plants to be built in Central Java and a location outside of Java respectively.

In 2013 Indocement faced increased competition from new cement producers in the market and expanded cement production capacity established producers. Indocement also pointed out to Indonesian news agency Antara that some of the new producers were importing cement into the country from abroad.

Indonesia: Indocement Tunggal Prakasa, Indonesia's second largest cement manufacturer, posted a 5.2% increase in its profit in 2013, reaching US$440m. Its revenue also surged by 8.1% to reach US$1.65bn for 2013. It attributed its improved fortunes to an increase in cement prices. "The company used the good market momentum to increase prices, contributing to the increase in net revenue," said Indocement in a statement. Indocement's cement and clinker sales volumes increased by 1.2% to reach 18.2Mt in 2013.

Thank you to everyone who commented on the column in last week's Global Cement Weekly (GCW132, MINTed cement industries). Amongst the more interesting thoughts was that in a large cement producing country like the US, there are regional areas of focus. So, returning to neologisms, FACT might refer to, say, Florida, Alabama, California and Texas, four southern states with the highest cement production capacities in the union. Similar regional breakdowns could be applied to countries such as China, India or Brazil.

Following last week's look at the MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) economies in the context of cement we now take a quick recap on what has been happening in the 'I' of the MINT, Indonesia.

Indonesia has a population of 238m, a cement production capacity of 47Mt and a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of US$1.29tr. Both its cement consumption per capita and GDP per capita are low by international standards suggesting that it has considerable growth potential for its cement industry as its wider economy grows.

Indonesia's biggest cement producer, the state owned Semen Indonesia (formerly Semen Gresik) has reported to local media that its unaudited net profit rose by 14% year-on-year in 2013 to US$410m. Its revenue rose by 12% to US$1.8bn. Its new 1.5Mt/yr cement plant in Tuban, East Java has been reported as being operational, bringing Semen Indonesia's cement production capacity up to 31.8Mt/yr in 2014.

The country's second biggest cement producer, Indocement, has not reported any figures for 2013 as a whole yet. However parent company HeidelbergCement did note that the Indonesian economy had slowed down as a result of falling commodity prices. Cement and clinker sales including exports rose by 0.6% in the first nine months of 2013. Around mid-2013 local media reported that Indocement was losing market share in Indonesia.

Holcim Indonesia has also not revealed its financial situation in 2013. However, like Indocement, Holcim Indonesia reported with its third quarter results that economic growth had 'temporarily' flattened in the country. Operating results had not improved on levels in 2012.

Overall domestic cement sales rose by 5.8% year-on-year to 47Mt for the first 10 months of 2013 according to data from the Indonesian Cement Association. Previous annual rises in cement production and cement consumption had started to slow in 2012.

Growth in the Indonesian cement industry is also having an effect on the larger geographical region. Australian cement producer Boral suspended clinker production at its Waurn Ponds plant in late 2012 due to cheaper imports from countries such as Indonesia. New Zealand followed suit in mid-2013 when Holcim announced plans to build cement import terminals instead of building a new cement plant at Weston.

In summary it seems likely that the cement market in Indonesia slowed down in the first half of 2013 but it still appears to be generating growth none-the-less, true to the MINT pattern. Market analysts from Kim Eng agree, pinning issues with domestic cement consumption in 2013 on capacity bottlenecks and over-crowded ports. Growth in the cement markets for the MINT countries may seem likely but in the case of Indonesia it cannot be assumed.