Displaying items by tag: Iran

Kyrgyzstan: 174,800t of cement entered Kyrgyzstan in the first half of 2024, more than double first-half 2023 import volumes of 83,200t. Neighbouring Kazakhstan supplied 152,000t (87%) of the total, according to data from the Kyrgyz National Statistical Committee. Central Asia News has reported that other imports originated from China, Iran and Uzbekistan.

Kyrgyzstan’s first-half cement production declined by 2% year-on-year in the period under review, to 1.3Mt. However, it grew by 10% year-on-year in June 2024. The country exported 190,000t of cement throughout the first half of 2024, all of it to Uzbekistan, down by 21% from first-half 2023 levels.

A couple of stories have popped up this week regarding restrictions on cement imports. First, authorities in Taiwan have launched an anti-dumping investigation into Vietnamese cement. Secondly, and perhaps more surprisingly given its growing economy, the authorities in Kyrgyzstan are planning to ban overland imports of cement from within Central Asia. More on that later…

First, to the Far East, where Taiwan’s Trade Remedies Authority has launched an anti-dumping investigation into cement and clinker imported from Vietnam. It will assess imports covering the year from 1 July 2023 to 30 June 2024 and target seven specific Vietnamese cement producers among others. The Vietnamese companies are mandatory respondents – they will be compelled to answer investigators’ questions.

Vietnamese cement has long been among the cheapest in the region due to the country’s drive to hit production targets, rather than simply meeting demand. The situation has resulted in a vast amount of cement available for export. This, coupled to Vietnam’s long, indented coastline, makes it easy to ship cement overseas.

Even with export volumes falling by 1.2% year-on-year to 31.3Mt in 2023, around a third of Vietnam’s capacity, this is a massive volume of cement - and it’s only getting cheaper. The average export value of Vietnamese cement and clinker fell from US$46-48/t at the start of 2023 to just US$31-32/t in May 2024, a decline of 30-35%. These changes have been due, in part, to an increase in tax on clinker exports from 5% to 10% on 1 January 2023 and an anti-dumping investigation launched by the Philippines in March 2023. Falling prices and volumes represent a ‘double-whammy’ for producers, several of which have announced that they made losses in the first half of 2024. Vicem’s top management said that challenges also arose at home due to a reduced demand following limited civil engineering projects and a stagnant real estate market.

It is easy to see why Taiwanese cement producers may feel threatened by the prospect of greater volumes of cheap cement on their doorstep. Taiwan only made 4.9Mt/yr of cement in the first half of 2024. With domestic prices in the region of US$65-70/t according to Cement Network, this provides a very attractive margin of US$33-39/t for Vietnamese producers to export to Taiwan. It will be interesting to see how far the country’s authorities are willing to go to protect the country’s producers and whether any anti-dumping policies lead to further falls in the landed volumes of Vietnamese cement.

Meanwhile, 4600km to the west, Kyrgyzstan has announced that it will enforce a six-month road import ban on several types of cement including Portland cement, alumina cement and slag cement. The ban, affecting both cement and clinker, will take effect on 1 October 2024 and last for six months. According to the State Statistical Committee of Kyrgyzstan, the country saw a 76% year-on-year increase in cement imports – mainly from Iran, Kazakhstan, China and Uzbekistan - between January 2024 and May 2024. The total import volume over the five months was 125,737t. For a country that made just 1Mt over the same period, this is a major change.

The overland import ban is more of a surprise than the Taiwan / Vietnam situation, as Kyrgyzstan recently reported that the North of the country was experiencing a ‘construction boom’ and cement shortages. However, two new plants due to start production in the coming months could help the country out... unless it too would like to export its newly-developed cement production capacity.

And here we arrive at a ‘classic’ impasse. From Pakistani cement in South Africa, to price arguments in West Africa, import bans in Central Asia and Vietnamese cement in Philippines and Taiwan, more and more exporters are finding that their markets are already self-sufficient in cement, with the US perhaps the notable exception. Soon there will be nowhere left for cement to be exported to. Are we at peak cement?

Iran: Head of the Iran Cement Association Hamid Farmani reported a 10% decline in Iran's cement production to 76Mt in the year ending 19 March 2024, reports The Tehran Times. Association member Ali-Akbar Alvandian also noted that cement exports fell to 10.5Mt during the period of 21 March 2023 - 21 December 2023, from 13Mt in the previous corresponding period. Annual production is calculated at 90Mt, 60Mt of which is used domestically. 13 white cement projects in the country are currently semi-finished, and if completed will lead to a capacity increase of 8.8Mt/yr.

Farmani said “We predict that in the coming years, the per capita consumption of cement in Iran will approach advanced and developing countries, and the consumption will increase from about 800kg per person to 2000kg per person.”

Iran: 70% of cement plants by capacity were reportedly using the low-quality heavy fuel oil mazut as cement fuel on 13 January 2024. Iranian Labour News Agency has reported that plants transitioned to the fuel from natural gas amid an on-going gas shortage. This has led to a rise in costs and increased pollution from cement plants.

Iran’s Cement Industry Employers’ Association said that the industry’s supply of natural gas has dropped to 7Mm³/yr, from 27M³/yr normally.

Syria: Abdul Qader Jokhadar, the Minister of Industry, has cited using Iran-based expertise in developing filtration system in cement plants to reduce emissions as an example of how the two countries can cooperate. Jokhadar met with Morteza Shahmirzaei, the director of the General Company for Petrochemical Industries and deputy to the Oil Minister of Iran, to discuss industrial development, according to the Syrian Arab News Agency. Other areas of collaboration include manufacturing electric batteries, agricultural machinery, tyres and optical cables.

Afghanistan: Ghori Cement says that its Baghlan cement plants currently produce 600t/day of cement, corresponding to annual production of 0.22Mt/yr. The producer states that production is restricted by shortages of electricity and vehicles. With regular supply of these, it would increase its production by 33% to 800t/day (0.29Mt/yr), according to the company.

Production at the Baghlan cement plants was previously suspended for four months in mid-2022 due to high coal prices. This was resolved when the government began supplying the plants with coal at a pre-agreed price. The plants then reopened with a daily production of 520t/day (0.19Mt/yr), up by 49% from 350t/yr (0.13Mt/yr).

The provincial government said that an upgrade with equipment from China and Iran since increased production by 15% to its present 600t/day (0.22Mt/yr).

Iran: The Iranian Cement Industry Employers Association (CIEA) has warned that 50 cement plants are ‘on the verge of closure’ in early 2023. Asia News has reported that plants’ electricity supply has dropped by 50%, while their gas supply has dropped by 80%. Low winter temperatures have diverted the utilities supplies towards heating homes. Cement producers outside of urban areas are licensed to use fuel oil to power their operations. This would increase their costs, however, due to high transport fees.

Iran: Data released by the Industry, Mining and Trade Ministry reveals that the country produced just over 48Mt of cement in the first nine months of the local calendar year that started on 21 March 2022. This fell slightly, by 1% year-on-year, from the previous year, according to the Tehran Times newspaper. In 2021 the country produced 63Mt of cement and exported 14.4Mt. Exports grew by 4% year-on-year to 7.6Mt in the first seven months of the current calendar year.

Iran: Mehdi Dosti, the governor of Hormozgan Province, says that a new 3000t/day cement plant will be built in the region. Dosti met with the head of Cement Investment Holding to discuss the project, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA). The project is intended to increase cement production and create jobs in the province. Currently, Hormozgan Province has a 6000t/day cement plant at the Port of Khamir but cement is also imported into the region.

Russia: The government is ‘working to establish import flows’ of building materials from Uzbekistan. Russian media sources have reported that the construction industry is also hoping to expand import partnerships with China, India, Iran and Turkey. Russian cement production reportedly continues to adequately serve the national demand for cement.