Displaying items by tag: South Africa
PPC hires bank to review Fairfax offer
05 October 2017South Africa: PPC has hired Investec bank to review an offer by Fairfax Financial Holdings to buy a stake in it. The process will also look at ‘credible’ offers made by other investors including Nigeria’s Dangote Cement. No duration for the review has been specified but the cement producer said it would take ‘some time.’ The Takeover Regulation Panel has granted Fairfax an extension until November 2017 to distribute its offer to shareholders, PPC said, allowing Investec more time to complete its report into the proposal.
Leading PPC shareholder warns against merger with AfriSam
03 October 2017South Africa: Prudential Investment Managers, one of the main shareholders of PPC, says it opposes a proposed merger between the cement producer and AfriSam. It said that the deal undervalues the group, according to the Business Daily newspaper. It added that it expects PPC’s share price to double in the next three to four years as production capacity in sub-Saharan African comes on line. Prudential owns a 14% share in PPC. Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings has made an offer of US$154m to buy a stake in PPC on condition that the cement producer agrees to a merger with AfriSam.
AfriSam describes offer to PPC as ‘fair’
21 September 2017South Africa: AfriSam has described its offer with Fairfax Financial Holdings to buy a stake in PPC for US$154m as ‘fair.’ In a questions and answer statement on its website it commented that the “…Partial Offer and Merger reflect the fair and relative value of PPC and AfriSam based on the unaffected market price for PPC shares and other valuation benchmarks.” PPC described the offer to its shareholders as low and has confirmed that it has been in communication with other potential bidders, including Nigeria’s Dangote Cement.
PPC seeks higher offer from Fairfax
18 September 2017South Africa: PPC is seeking a higher offer from Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings that has made a bid to buy a stake in it. The cement producer said in a document to shareholders that it anticipated that Fairfax would make a higher bid given ‘the lower offer price on the table’. The Canadian financial company offered US$154m to buy a portion of PPC with the condition that it also merge with AfriSam. PPC also confirmed that it had received a non-binding communication from Nigeria’s Dangote Cement to buy it.
Dangote Cement confirms talks with PPC
15 September 2017South Africa: Nigeria’s Dangote Cement has confirmed its interest in bidding for PPC. The company said that its board of directors had communicated to the board of PPC but that the dialogue was at a preliminary stage. The offer follows offers by Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings with AfriSam and other unnamed bids.
Rossen Papazov appointed as country chief for Lafarge South Africa
13 September 2017South Africa: Lafarge South Africa has appointed Rossen Papazov as its country chief executive officer (CEO). Papazov will join the company with effect from 1 October 2017, according to Business Report. He has been the country head for Holcim in Azerbaijan for the last four years. Prior to this he originally joined Holcim in 2000 as its Business Development Manager for Bulgaria. He has also held roles in Belgium and Romania.
Public Investment Corporation backs Fairfax offer for PPC
13 September 2017South Africa: PPC’s largest shareholder, the Public Investment Corporation (PIC), has supported an offer from Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings and local cement producer AfriSam. PIC views the bid as an opportunity to build a larger cement producer in sub-Saharan Africa, according to sources quoted by the Cape Argus newspaper. The investment body also hopes to make cost savings from the merger. PIC owns about 11% of PPC and it is the biggest shareholder of AfriSam with a 60% stake.
Dangote linked to PPC bid
11 September 2017South Africa: Dangote Cement is considering making a bid for PPC. The interest of the Nigerian company could start a bidding contest for the South African cement producer, according to sources quoted by the Cape Times newspaper. Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings with AfriSam made an offer for PPC in early September 2017. However, PPC said that the offer was ‘undervalued.’ It also reported to shareholders that it had received two other offers. It is expected to present any offers it has received to shareholders in early October 2017.
South Africa: Canada’s Fairfax Financial Holdings has made an offer of US$154m to buy a stake in PPC on condition that the cement producer agrees to a merger with AfriSam. Fairfax will also invest a further US$309m to pay off AfriSam debts to aid the deal, according to the Cape Times newspaper. The proposed merger ratio is based on 58% PPC and 42% AfriSam.
PPC said to its shareholders that it had received two other offers from trade buyers about a ‘pan-African combination’ with PPC. It added that although it had yet to ‘fully consider’ the Fairfax proposal, the offer was ‘fundamentally’ undervalued.
A change of course or an ‘action replay’ in South Africa?
30 August 2017There have been sounds of discontent coming out of South Africa this week, as AfriSam and PPC continue to (apparently) fail to come to an agreement on the terms of their long-discussed proposed merger. The pair have formally been in discussion since February 2017 but the situation now looks precarious. AfriSam has cancelled the heads of terms that had stood since that month. PPC has now hit back by giving AfriSam until this Friday (1 September 2017) to come up with a new and ‘sufficiently interesting’ deal for it and its shareholders. AfriSam’s acting Chief Executive Rob Wessels said, "AfriSam remains firm that a transaction between AfriSam and PPC will greatly benefit the stakeholders of both companies.” However, PPC’s chairperson Peter Nelson said that his shareholders were ‘frightened about the prospect’ of the merger.
If you think all of this to-and-fro sounds a bit familiar, that’s because it should. AfriSam and PPC have been courting not just since February 2017, but since December 2014. At that time, following the surprise resignation of CEO Ketso Gordhan, discussions lasted until the end of March 2015 before fizzling out. PPC’s (then) new CEO Daryll Castle confirmed that neither party could agree on terms. The two parties were also able to save some face by pointing out that the merged entity would have had around 60% of all South African cement capacity. While this is a pretty big potential stumbling block, it would been pretty obvious before discussions started and is by no means insurmountable. One gets the feeling that, given more enthusiastic partners, the discussions might have found a way forward.
At the time PPC and AfriSam played their cards close to their chests and we can’t be sure quite why the discussions really broke down. However, regardless of what happened last time, there do appear to be a lot of parallels with the current situation.
Firstly, PPC is, once again, in a state of transition. CEO Darryll Castle announced in July 2017 that he would be leaving to ‘pursue other interests,’ although neither an exact departure date nor destination was provided. Johan Claassen, the current managing director of PPC, has been appointed to the role, but only on an interim basis, presumably in anticipation for the expected merger. Other positions in the group’s executive team were reshuffled in the past couple of weeks and there was also the resignation of Tito Mboweni, a non-executive director, rumoured to be over a difference of opinion regarding the merger. On top of this, AfriSam’s CEO Wessels is also on a short-term contract. Could all of these pre-merger moves now be in vain?
Secondly, PPC continues to suffer from a combination of a poor domestic construction market and increasing competition and from imports coming in from rampantly over-productive markets across the Indian Ocean. Arguably both of these effects are now worse than they were in 2015, although PPC did recently say that the second quarter of 2017 had been a lot better across South Africa than the first. However, PPC saw its full-year earnings collapse by 93% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2017, after it was awarded ‘junk’ status in May 2016 by credit-rating agencies. Is it this result alone that has gotten AfriSam thinking? Despite this, PPC remains the larger of the two parties. It certainly wants to be seen to be calling the shots with its 1 September ultimatum.
However, the two producers now share less than 50% of the integrated cement capacity in South Africa, not 60% as in 2015. According to the Global Cement Directory 2017 they share around 7.8Mt/yr of integrated capacity against 8Mt/yr in the hands of others. This is due to the commissioning of the monster 3.5Mt/yr Anganang clinker plant and associated Delmas grinding plant by Sephaku Cement (Dangote Cement) and the full commissioning of Mamba Cement, part of Jidong Development. Could this smaller combined market share make it easier for PPC and AfriSam to identify those assets that can be sold to appease the competition authorities? Could this yet save the discussions?
Whatever happens after Friday, it is apparent that some form of consolidation is essential for PPC (and the wider southern African market) if the industry is to ‘right-size’ for the future. The region is awash with cement. News from PPC Zimbabwe this week even hinted that the effects of imports are now so strong in that country that it is considering shutting down clinker production at its Colleen Bawn plant, which has operated for more than 70 years. This effect is in play all the way down the coast from the Horn of Africa to Capetown and has been discussed previously with reference to Kenya, Tanzania and Mozambique.
Even if it doesn’t get the ‘right answer’ from AfriSam this week, PPC may still stand to gain from the merger, even if it’s only in the short term. In March 2015 its shares jumped up 5% on the news that the merger talks had collapsed. Given its recent performance, another 5% boost would probably not be turned down.