
Displaying items by tag: demand
Vietnamese cement surplus to remain in 2025
03 February 2025Vietnam: The general director of Vietnam Cement Industry Corporation (VICEM), Nguyen Thanh Tung, says that Vietnam will suffer continued cement overcapacity amid high production costs in 2025. Full-year production is forecast at 125Mt, 96% greater than an expected domestic demand of 63.5Mt. Việt Nam News has reported that Vietnam’s cement exports face an on-going investigation in Taiwan, and are already subject to anti-dumping duties in the Philippines.
VICEM aims to raise its domestic clinker sales volumes by 8% year-on-year to 18Mt, in order to generate sales of US$1.16bn. To this end, Tung urged the government to adopt cement reinforcement in roadbuilding, as well as lifting the export tax on cement.
WCA president forecasts major changes in global cement industry
30 January 2025Global: The World Cement Association (WCA) projects a 22% decline in global cement demand by 2050. Price increases are expected to continue in European and North American markets, while significant market restructuring is already underway to address overcapacity in China and Japan. Multinational companies are scaling back cement business and focusing instead on North America, while cement production in Europe continues to decline due to strict CO₂ regulations and capacity reductions.
India's cement production has surpassed 200Mt/yr, with domestic firms strengthening their position as multinationals exit the market. Chinese producers are expanding their presence, particularly in Africa and Southeast Asia.
WCA president Wei Rushan said “To remain both profitable and environmentally responsible, the cement industry must aim to reduce capacity by 50%, from 4.7Bnt/yr to 2.3Bnt/yr within the next decade. This requires focusing on modern, sustainable production units.”
Saudi cement sales rise 12% in fourth quarter of 2024
21 January 2025Saudi Arabia: Cement sales increased by 12% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2024, reaching 14.87Mt, Arab News reports. Sales were primarily driven by domestic demand, which accounted for 96% of total sales. Exports contributed the remaining 4%, according to data from Al-Yamama Cement. For the full year, cement sales grew by 3.7% to 51.2Mt.
Al-Yamama Cement led the domestic market in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a 13% share and sales of 1.83Mt, up by 22% year-on-year. Qassim Cement, after acquiring Hail Cement, held an 11% share with 1.63Mt of sales. Yanbu Cement, Southern Cement, and Al Jouf Cement followed.
During the same period, Saudi Cement dominated in exports with 0.49Mt, representing 80% of total shipments and a 71% year-on-year increase. Clinker production grew by 7% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2024 to 14.9Mt, while clinker exports fell by 28% to 1.15Mt.
Amr Nader, CEO of cement consultancy A3&Co, said “These figures may not fully align with the anticipated surge in demand from ambitious infrastructure projects. Megaprojects such as NEOM, the Red Sea project, and FIFA World Cup-related developments require vast quantities of construction materials. The maximum anticipated demand in the next five years is 78Mt/yr.”
Iran’s cement production capacity reaches 90Mt/yr
13 January 2025Iran: The country’s cement production capacity has reached 90Mt/yr, with 85% of machinery and parts manufactured domestically, according to Majid Vafapour, head of the Cement Industry Employers Association.
Vafapour said domestic demand is fully met, with any surplus exported. He noted that reduced infrastructure activity due to funding constraints has driven higher exports.
Vafapour said “If international challenges are resolved and domestic projects regain momentum, the current 90Mt/yr capacity could be fully utilised for domestic consumption.”
Efficiency initiatives, including the use of additives, could boost output by 20% without new facilities, according to The Tehran Times. However, energy supply disruptions have left over 30 kilns idle, according to Vafapour, and clinker reserves have dropped below strategic levels.
Uzbekistan’s cement sales rose by 58% in 2024
13 January 2025Uzbekistan: Cement sales on the Uzbekistan Commodity Exchange (UZEX) grew by 58% year-on-year to 5.9Mt in 2024, with average monthly sales exceeding 0.49Mt, according to Business World Magazine.
Ahangarantsement held 18% of total cement sales volume, followed by Kyzylkumsement (3%) and Bekabadcement (1%). Tashkent and the Tashkent region observed the highest demand for cement at 34% of purchases, followed by Samarkand (15%) and Kashkadarya (14%). Ferghana held 8%, with other regions purchasing smaller volumes.
India: Cement companies are expected to report weak financial results for the December quarter of the 2025 financial year due to lower demand, suppressed by reduced government infrastructure spending and weak private capital expenditure, according to The Hindu Businessline.
Large players, including UltraTech Cement and Ambuja Cements, are expected to lead demand growth by 8% year-on-year in the December quarter, but earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) may decline by 18%. Efforts to increase prices in October and November 2024 were rolled back, and a mid-December increase reportedly failed to boost profits.
Parvez Qazi, research analyst at Nuvama Research, said “We expect further consolidation in the space mostly in the southern region due to its fragmented nature. Softening fuel prices, along with cost efficiency measures undertaken by various players, are likely to provide some relief on the cost front, thereby cushioning the impact of weak realisations to some extent.”
Sabah cement producer increases production
08 January 2025Malaysia: Makin Teguh Sdn Bhd (MTSB) has increased its production of cement to 700t/day to address construction demand in Sabah’s east coast amid a blockade affecting Cement Industries Sabah (CIS), according to the Daily Express. The plant was commissioned in October 2023.
The blockade reportedly stems from a land ownership dispute, where individuals have blocked an access road, leaving CIS unable to distribute cement from its facility.
Charlie Lee Puan Kiang, MTSB operations director, said “Our primary objective is ensuring stable cement supply throughout Sabah’s east coast. We are encouraging hardware stores and cement distributors to use our abundant supply.”
World Cement Association forecasts decline in cement demand by 2050
16 December 2024Global: The World Cement Association has released a white paper titled ‘Long-Term Forecast for Cement and Clinker Demand’, authored by CEO Ian Riley. The paper predicts a global decline in cement demand to 3Bnt/yr by 2050, with clinker demand dropping to 1.5Bnt/yr.
The report attributes the decline to decarbonisation, technological advancements and market dynamics, with the need for carbon capture and storage consequently reduced.
Ian Riley said “The cement industry is undergoing an unprecedented transformation. As we move towards a decarbonised future, understanding the true demand for cement and clinker is critical to ensuring that policies, technologies and investments align with reality. This white paper aims to provide industry leaders and policymakers with the clarity needed to plan effectively and sustainably.”
The analysis also explores disruptive factors such as alternative materials, supply chain optimisation and clinker-free technologies, presenting three scenarios to guide stakeholders in adapting to industry changes and fostering innovation.
Cement exports increase in Pakistan
05 November 2024Pakistan: Despite low domestic cement demand, exports rose in October 2024, with total despatches reaching 4.36Mt, a 9% increase compared to 4Mt in October 2023. The All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association reported a 51% increase in export despatches, from 714,325t in October 2023 to 1.1Mt in October 2024. This increase offset the slow local market demand, which saw a minor decline of 0.5% in domestic despatches to 3.28Mt from 3.3Mt.
Over the first four months of the 2024 financial year (July – October 2024), total cement despatches (domestic and exports) fell by 8% to 14.6Mt from 16Mt in the previous year's corresponding period. Domestic despatches decreased by 15% to 11.4Mt, whereas exports grew by 31%, reaching 3.2Mt from 2.5Mt.
Zimbabwe: The government is looking at consolidating limestone deposits as part of the new Zimbabwe Industrial Reconstruction and Growth Plan. This plan aims to increase domestic clinker production so that ‘costly’ clinker imports are reduced, according to The Zimbabwean newspaper. The government hopes that the consolidation plan will stabilise the raw material supply chain, providing cement manufacturers with a steady source of limestone to meet demand without production interruptions. Zimbabwe’s cement industry reportedly has an installed capacity of 2.6Mt/yr, but only produces 1.65Mt/yr, with imports exceeding US$59m in 2023. The national demand is estimated at 1.8Mt/yr.
In order to support domestic production, the plan recommends increasing the cement import licence fee from US$100 to US$500 per 30t and reducing the electricity tariff from US$0.16/kWh to US$0.10/kWh.