Displaying items by tag: Outlook

Brazil: Brazil consumed 62Mt in 2023, down by 1.7% year-on-year, according to data from the National Cement Industry Association (SNIC). This marks the second successive year of decline, after demand dropped by 2.8% to 63.1Mt in 2022. As a result, cement’s value on the National Construction Cost Index dropped by 6%, after having risen by 13% in 2022. The domestic cement industry recorded a capacity utilisation rate of 66% in 2023.

SNIC president Paulo Camillo Penna noted high household debt, high interest rates and poor income growth as impacting the industry’s sales. He said “The My House, My Life housing programme was not fully operational until the middle of the year. Up to September 2023, the construction industry experienced a 16% decline in the number of real-estate launches.” He continued “By 2026, we will experience a period of turnaround for the cement industry.”

Vietnam: State-owned Vicem sold 22.6Mt of cement and clinker in 2023, down by 18% year-on-year from 2022 levels. Việt Nam News has reported that the producer exported 2.85Mt of cement and clinker, 85% of its target volumes for the year. For 2024, Vicem aims to achieve full-year sales of 24.3Mt, up by 7.7%.

Saudi Arabia: Utilities provider Saudi Aramco has notified Saudi Arabian cement producers of a rise in the price of its feedstock and fuel products from 1 January 2024. Zawya News has reported that Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company forecast the effect of the price rise to be a 1.2% increase in producers’ cost of sales in 2024.

Yanbu Cement said “The impact of changing the price of fuel products will lead to an increase in the cost of production.” Umm Al-Qura Cement echoed the concern, while Saudi Cement Company said that it is working out the extent of the financial impact and will study ways to mitigate it.

Australia: Adbri says that the cost and timing of its on-going expansion of its Kwinana grinding plant in Western Australia remain ‘on track.’ To date, the producer has invested US$161m in the expansion, towards a projected cost of US$385-420m.

In an accompanying trading update, Adbri said that it expects its full-year earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to be US$208 -212m in 2023, ‘moderately’ above its previous outlook. In 2022, its earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) amounted to US$106m. The company has forecast total capital expenditure investments for 2023 of US$208-215m. It previously expected to invest US$221-235m during 2023.

China/India: Research organisation Fitch Ratings has forecast continued ‘steady’ growth of 6 – 8% year-on-year in cement demand in India in 2024. Meanwhile, it expects demand in China to remain ‘weak,’ amid low activity levels in the residential construction sector. Nonetheless, Fitch Ratings said that rising installed cement capacity will limit growth in producers’ profit margins in India, while producers’ profit margins will stabilise in China.

Uganda: Holcim subsidiaries Bamburi Cement and Cementia Holding have negotiated a price of US$120m for Hima Cement with buyer Sarrai Group. Business Daily News has reported that the price is 14% higher than the company’s previous valuation. The parties said that the agreed price takes into consideration ‘multiple factors,’ including Hima Cement’s performance in 2022 and forecast performance for 2023.

India: UltraTech Cement’s acquisition of Kesoram Cement will raise its share of capacity in the Southern Indian cement market to 21% from 11%, according to BusinessLine Online News. Market researcher Emkay Global said that it expects the acquisition and UltraTech Cement’s current expansion plans to raise the group’s total share of cement capacity in Southern India and Western India by 7 – 8%.

Brazil: The Brazilian National Cement Industry Association (SNIC) has forecast a drop of 1% year-on-year in cement consumption in Brazil during 2023. This is due to a slowdown in the residential construction sector, which accounts for 70% of national demand. SNIC forecast a 2% year-on-year rise in cement demand in 2024, due to increased infrastructure activity.

Brazil produced 52Mt of cement during the first 10 months of 2023, down by 2.1%. The country produced 61Mt of cement in 2022, corresponding to a capacity utilisation rate of 65%.

UK: Breedon Group grew its sales by 8% year-on-year during the first nine months of 2023. Volumes ‘moderated’ over the period, yet ‘robust’ pricing and operational excellence successfully offset the effects of this on group sales. It generated ‘good’ free cash flow and is on track to deliver a further reduction in covenant leverage at the end of 2023, enabling it to continue its investments in growth. In September 2023, Breedon Group entered the FTSE 250 Index of the London Stock Exchange.

Chief executive officer Rob Wood said “Notwithstanding the market backdrop, the Breedon team continues to deliver and we are delighted to report a trading performance ahead of expectations. Against the uncertain political and economic backdrop, our teams have adapted well to deliver a compelling performance.” He continued “But we never settle – we will continue to seek ways to operate as efficiently and sustainably as possible, invest in our people and grow our business so we are positioned to succeed when the construction materials market returns to growth.”

US: Ireland-based CRH has concluded a deal for the acquisition of Martin Marietta Materials’ South Texas business. This includes the 2.1Mt/yr Hunter cement plant, a network of cement terminals on the Gulf of Mexico and 20 ready-mix concrete batching plants. The value of the transaction is US$2.1bn.

CRH chief executive officer Albert Manifold said “The acquisition of these high-quality assets further strengthens our market leading position in Texas and increases our exposure to attractive, high-growth markets. Our ability to leverage our cement expertise and technical capabilities will enable us to enhance and optimise our existing footprint in Texas, resulting in significant synergies and self-supply opportunities. This transaction reflects our disciplined approach to capital allocation as well as our commitment to deliver further growth and value creation for our shareholders. We also believe there is significant potential to unlock additional growth opportunities across an expanded footprint in this attractive growth market.”