Displaying items by tag: Outlook

Peru: Unacem recorded consolidated sales of US$380m during the first quarter of 2023, corresponding to year-on-year growth of 2.6%. Despite this, the producer's earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fell by 7.4% to US$105m. Unacem attributed its sales growth to 'strong' cement sales volumes in the US, as well as increased prices across its markets. The domestic Peruvian market contributed US$247m (65%) of Unacem's sales, up by 0.5% year-on-year. Peruvian cement volumes fell by 8%, while high fuel costs there contributed to a local decline in earnings.

Looking ahead to the full 2023 financial year, Unacem CEO Pedro Lerner expects the group's consolidated sales to rise year-on-year. He forecast a 10% drop in Peruvian cement volumes to 6Mt. Lerner said that the company is 'monitoring events' in neighbouring Ecuador, but considers it inevitable that on-going political disturbances will 'affect economic conditions' in the market.

Australia: James Hardie's sales were US$3.77bn during the 2023 financial year, up by 4% year-on-year from 2022 financial year levels. Its flagship North America fibre cement segment increased its sales by 9% to US$2.79bn, its Asia Pacific fibre cement segment increased its sales by 1% to US$527m and its Europe Building Products segment increased its sales by 3% to US$470m.

James Hardie's CEO, Aaron Erter, said “We delivered full-year adjusted net income and operating cash flows of US$606m and US$608m respectively. I am pleased with how the team adjusted during the 2023 financial year to prepare the company to thrive through this cycle. This is reflected in our strong fourth quarter results, including all three regions delivering significant earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin improvement sequentially in the fourth quarter.”

Looking forward to the first quarter of the 2024 financial year, James Hardie forecast adjusted net income growth of between -6% and +6.9%, to US$145 - 165m, throughout the quarter.

Italy: Buzzi Unicem reported first-quarter sales of Euro956m in 2023, up by 20% year-on-year from Euro800m in the first quarter of 2022. The producer's cement volumes dropped by 8.8% to 5.8Mt from 6.36Mt. It attributed this to a general slowdown of the construction sector across its markets. Local low demand from the residential market and adverse weather compounded the regional sales contraction in Central Europe. On the other hand, the group recorded volumes growth in Mexico and Russia and stability in Brazil. Both Mexico and Brazil produced revenues growth, while Buzzi Unicem's revenues fell in Russia due to the effect of the appreciation of the ruble against the comparison period in 2022, when the start of the on-going Russian invasion of Ukraine devalued it.

Overall, the group expects to 'easily' match its 2022 full-year earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) in 2023. It said that that it could not currently delineate a 'clearly different picture,' but added "The stabilisation of energy prices, albeit at higher levels than in 2022, if confirmed, will allow us to have better visibility on the unfolding of the production costs from spring onwards."

Colombia: Cementos Argos sold 3.9Mt of cement during the first quarter of 2023, down by 0.6% year-on-year. This contributed to a 12% rise in its consolidated revenues to US$721m. Its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) grew by 42% to US$127m.

President Juan Esteban Calle said "In the first quarter of the year we experienced a stable market dynamic in most of the territories in which we are present, sequential improvements in costs, especially in fuels, energy and, in some cases, raw materials and mixed macroeconomic signals that keep us optimistic about medium-term trends." He added "Beyond the constant challenging conditions, we continue to take forceful steps toward our goal of creating value for the company, our investors, customers and other stakeholders."

Japan: Taiheiyo Cement's consolidated sales rose by 14% year-on-year to US$6.02bn for its 2023 financial year, which ended on 31 March 2023. Its cement volumes fell by 1.5% to 37.3Mt. It said that current high costs of labour and building materials generally reduced cement demand in its local market. It reported a net loss of US$247m, up by 15% from US$215m. Nikkei News has reported that the company has forecast a US$297m profit in the 2024 financial year.

Argentina: Loma Negra recorded sales of US$197m during the first quarter of 2023, up by 2.9% year-on-year from first-quarter 2022 levels. The company's earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) rose by 5.8% year-on-year to US$63m. Its net profit fell by 19% year-on-year to US$22.9m. Throughout the quarter under review, Loma Negra sold 1.54Mt of cement, up by 4.3% year-on-year.

Chief execuive officer Sergio Faifman said “We started the year in a very good shape, with solid operating result and cash flow generation, together with a very robust financial position. Despite the challenging macro scenario and the economic disorder in Argentina, cement demand remains strong, posting 3.1% growth in spite of the high base of comparison, and Loma Negra showed even higher growth figures." Faifman continued "We also completed our first issuance of corporate bonds with high success and with great support from the market, which demonstrates the confidence that investors place in our company. This gave us the possibility of refinancing our short-term debt in Argentinian Pesos and further strengthening our balance sheet. For the remainder of the year, we are cautiously optimistic that we will continue to see healthy dynamics in our markets, although at slower rates as we approach the presidential elections.”

Mexico: Cemex recorded sales of US$4.04bn in the first quarter of 2023, up by 8% year-on-year from US$3.73bn a year earlier. The producer recorded operating earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$733m, up by 7% year-on-year from US$685m. This was despite a 9% year-on-year decline in group cement sales volumes to 14.4Mt from 15.8Mt. First-quarter 2023 cement volumes fell by 3% in Mexico, by 19% in the US, by 10% in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia and by 8% in South, Central America and the Caribbean.

Cemex retained its guidance of a low single-digit year-on-year increase in operating EBITDA in 2023. It also expects its energy cost per tonne of cement produced to rise by 10%.

India: Adani Group says that it will raise funds for its 2028 capacity expansion plan through internal accruals. The producer plans to double its cement capacity to 140Mt/yr by 2028, and also double its sales to US$8.5bn that year. The Financial Express newspaper has reported that the group says its internal accruals will be 'sufficient' to realise its aims. The group is reportedly 'on track' to commence the first phase of the planned expansion in early-mid-2023. It has also set out a cost reduction roadmap with a view to becoming India's most profitable cement company.

Chair Gautam Adani says that he anticipates a 'multi-fold rise' in all-Indian cement consumption due to forecast high economic growth and the government's infrastructure spending plans.

China: West China Cement recorded US$1.23bn in sales in 2022, up by 6% year-on-year from US$1.16bn in 2021. The producer's profit dropped by 23% to US$176m from US$230m.

Looking to the 2023 full year, West China Cement said that it expects demand in Guizhou and Xinjiang Provinces to 'remain subdued.' It noted upcoming infrastructure projects in Shaanxi Province as a source of substantial demand, but overall does not expect significant demand growth there. Meanwhile in Mozambique, the group expects its performance to remain unchanged.

India: Credit rating agency Crisil expects the Indian cement sector's capacity to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4 - 5% over the four-year period up to the end of the 2027 financial year on 31 March 2027. It would thus begin the 2028 financial year at 715 - 725Mt/yr in installed capacity, compared to 570Mt/yr at the end of the 2023 financial year. The industry's total investment in the expansion is expected to be US$14.5bn. Major multi-state producers are expected to contribute over US$7.25bn (50%) of investments towards the total sum.

Over the same period, Crisil expects all-India cement demand to rise at a CAGR of 6 - 7%.