This week a Nigeria-based government regulator has concluded that there may be some anti-competitive behaviour occurring in the local cement sector. One of the other countries it compared Nigeria to was Tanzania. However, Tanzania has been having its own problems with cement supply recently. Let’s explore what’s been happening.

Arguments over the price of cement in Nigeria are a regular occurrence that this column has covered multiple times over the last decade and beforehand. Our last one, in February 2026, covered a think-tank that blamed the situation on structural issues with the market. The latest allegations come from the Anticompetitive Practices Department (ACP) of the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC). In a preliminary report its findings “...suggest possible manipulation of prices of cement in the Nigerian market.” The ACP started the investigation due to the apparent high price of cement locally, compared to other countries, despite plenty of limestone sources and surplus production capacity. All the major cement producers in the country cooperated with the ACP apart from one. The department then goes on to note that three large companies account for 90% of cement production in the country.

The ACP actually compared prices in different countries in Sub-Saharan Africa to Nigeria. For example, it says that the retail price of cement is US$5.40/bag (50kg) in Nairobi, Kenya or US$4.80/bag in Tanzania. The commission notes that the price of cement rose significantly in the first half of 2026. Its exemplar prices suggest that cement in Nigeria sold for US$7.20/bag in January 2026, US$9.65/bag by the middle of the year and as high as US$11.13/bag by July 2026. The FCCPC press release doesn’t do the calculations but the figures it provides suggest that Kenya has a cement production capacity of 160kg/capita but Nigeria has one of at least 252kg/capita. Nigeria apparently produces more cement per person than Kenya but it may cost twice as much! The FCCPC has asked the large producers to explain their pricing methods, production capacity utilisation and export data and “relevant commercial relationships.”

Local press coverage in Nigeria over the last week included the assessment of cement expert Kevin Tar, who concluded that cement shouldn’t cost more than US$6.00/bag including production and logistics costs. His figures even included 20 - 25% profit for the manufacturers. For comparison, the net profits of two of the main cement producers in Nigeria - BUA Cement and HBM Nigeria - each increased by at least 50% year-on-year in the first half of 2026. Dangote Cement in its half-year results noted that inflation had been an issue due to rising fuel prices connected to the US - Iran war.

Unfortunately, one of the countries the FCCPC used to try and show that cement prices might be unduly high in Nigeria was Tanzania, which has been having troubles of its own in recent months. The government has given cement producers eight days to cut prices and improve supply after prices reportedly nearly hit US$10/bag in some places. Producers have blamed the situation on mechanical failures at some of the main integrated plants. The cement companies will be back before the Ministry of Industry and Trade on 28 August 2026 for a progress report on the situation.

A number of cement producers raised their prices in July 2026 blaming rising input and production costs, and tax changes amongst other reasons. One tax rise was an increase in specific excise duty rates for the 2026 - 27 tax year that started in July 2026. The government told local press at the time that the country has 15 cement plants with a production capacity of 13.6Mt/yr. These plants had produced 10.3Mt in the last year against a demand of 8.5Mt/yr. The remainder was exported to Malawi, Zambia, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Rwanda, Burundi and other countries. Global Cement Magazine published an overview of the cement market in Tanzania in its January 2025 issue by authors Holtec Consulting. At the time they noted the country’s relatively low cement consumption per capita and high potential for growth in the sector as the economy developed. Hopefully the current debacle is merely a hiccup on that path.

Nigeria and Tanzania possess cement sectors at different stages of development. Yet both are encountering price spikes at the moment. Nigeria’s industry is more concentrated and much larger. It may be suffering from its perennial structural problems and inflation-based issues. Tanzania’s sector is more diverse. In its case import tariffs on clinker from East African Community countries may be making the market less nimble in the face of a local clicker supply bottleneck. In addition, inflation on fuel prices and the new tax system could be playing their part too. Exports may also be an issue as, anecdotally, they appear to have risen in 2025 and so-far in 2026.

Whether an eventual FCCPC investigation finds anything in Nigeria remains to be seen. Yet, mounting cement prices in another country in Sub-Saharan start to flesh out an argument for a wider trend going in the region.

Cement developments in South East Africa include a 1.1Mt/yr project start and completion of a 0.8Mt/yr expansion, both in Mozambique, in the past fortnight. The current round of cement capacity-building shows global trends of alternative raw materials substitution and electrification. It also goes to show the new geopolitical multipolarity, in the form of over US$600m of investments from China.

Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe lie at the southern end of the African Rift Valley system, between the Kalahari desert to the west and the Bushveld dry forest to the south. The three nations are connected by the course of the River Zambezi, from its source in Ikelenge district, Zambia, to its mouth 1500km away in Sofala and Zambezia provinces, Mozambique. The countries have a combined population of 74.5m people and an integrated cement capacity of 6.45Mt/yr. Over 4Mt/yr-worth of new capacity construction commenced, continued or concluded in August 2026. Additionally, the region has a proportion of planned and approved cement plant projects of uncertain status at present.

Mozambique’s cement sector is notable for its medium-sized integrated cement segment (two plants, 3.2Mt/yr) but large, diffuse cement grinding segment (10 plants, 4.75Mt/yr). The industry is shaped to take advantage of its location beside the Indian Ocean, via which it receives clinker and exports finished cement to buyers in Comoros and Madagascar, across the Mozambique Channel. An 11th, US$35m grinding plant is planned for Ancuabe in coastal Cabo Delgado province. Moçambique Dugongo Cimentos, a joint venture between SPI Gestão and China-based West International Holding, was preparing to commence the 17-month construction project in mid-2025.

Other developments indicate a shift in local industrial strategy towards greater self-sufficiency up the cement value chain. China-based Huaxin Cement subsidiary Cimentos de Moçambique successfully tripled the production capacity of its Nacala integrated cement plant in Nampula province to 1.2Mt/yr on 28 July 2026, at a cost of US$110m. Moçambique Dugongo Cimentos, meanwhile, is itself building a US$192m, 2.2Mt/yr integrated plant at Nacala, which had previously been due for delivery in 2025.

Then on 7 August 2026, Global Cement News reported broken ground at the site of a third Mozambican cement plant project. Clay & Gravel Holding’s upcoming 1.1Mt/yr Muxúnguè cement plant is reportedly under construction by China-based AVIC International Beijing. Clay & Gravel Holding is a single-parent entity, which, combined with its choice of engineering contractor, suggests Chinese ownership – perhaps by confirmed Muxúnguè plant investor China Energy Overseas Investment. Together with the Nacala plants, this is set to bring Mozambique’s cement sector to an eventual five integrated plants, with a combined capacity of 7.3Mt/yr. The Muxúnguè plant is also planned to have 0.9Mt/yr of additional clinker capacity.

In Zambia, state investment firm ZCCM Investments Holdings and China-based ​Wonderful Group launched a 45:55 joint venture, Ndola Lime, at the end of May 2026. The aim of the JV will be to restart the Ndola cement and lime plant in Copperbelt province. Wonderful Group will invest US$30m and ZCCM Investment Holdings will write off US$9.8m of historic debt attached to the Ndola facility. The restart of cement production will form Phase 2 or 3 of the planned project, following the restart of lime production, subject to local market conditions. Prior to its closure in 2018, the plant had a cement production capacity of 0.2Mt/yr. 

Zambia’s 1.55Mt/yr integrated cement industry has been 100% (China-based) Huaxin Cement-owned since it acquired regional former Lafarge assets, including Zambia’s 0.55Mt/yr Chilanga and 1Mt/yr Ndola cement plants, in 2021. Read Global Cement’s previous analysis of Huaxin Cement’s movements in Sub-Saharan Africa from the end of 2024 here. China Zambia De Jin Xin Cement has had plans for a further Zambian integrated cement plant, along with a new limestone mine and captive power plant, since November 2024. The Global Cement Directory 2026 currently lists no grinding plants in Zambia.

Zimbabwe has 1.7Mt/yr in integrated capacity across four cement plants, with six grinding plants adding a further 2.5Mt/yr in installed cement capacity. The country is due to host a new, 0.4Mt/yr grinding plant from October 2026, Global Cement News has reported, following an update from Dinson Iron and Steel Company (DISCO) on 10 August 2026. The subsidiary of China-based Tsingshan Holding Group is building the US$15m plant at its Manhize metallurgical complex in Mashonaland East province, where cement production will benefit from a captive source of granulated blast furnace slag. The plant will also source limestone from Chirumhanzu and Masvingo districts. These districts occupy a geologically rich region, hitherto only developed for ferrous and precious metals production.

In neighbouring Mashonaland West province, China-based Shuntai Investments reported ‘significant progress’ on construction of its upcoming 2.2Mt/yr Chegutu integrated cement plant in mid-July 2026. The plant, including a captive 50MW solar power plant and fleet of electric vehicles, is on schedule to launch in September 2026. This will more than double Zimbabwe’s integrated production capacity, to 3.9Mt/yr. This removes any need for the 35,000 – 45,000t/month of cement that Zimbabwe imported in 2026 to-date, but raises the issue of overcapacity for the landlocked country. In 2025, Zimbabwe consumed 1.8Mt of cement, amidst locally-reported shortages.

Longer-term project concepts in Zimbabwe include a ‘rehabilitation’ of the 0.7Mt/yr Manresa cement plant in Harare (following a bail-out in 2024) by Uganda-based Hima Cement and a new, 1.5Mt/yr Dangote Cement plant at an as-yet unspecified location. PPC and China-based Sinoma Overseas Development, meanwhile, are collaborating on a potential expansion to the South Africa-based producer’s 0.5Mt/yr Colleen Bawn cement plant in Matabeleland South province – capacity as yet unconfirmed. A May 2026 announcement by the partners indicated that a new integrated cement plant project may follow after. The above projects may eventually raise the number of Zimbabwean integrated cement plants to seven.

An influx of foreign cash of the kind underway in Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe is a mixed blessing. Across the region, new plants are rising up and mothballed ones are being resurrected. Companies like Tsingshan Holding Group and Shuntai Investments in Zimbabwe are signing the deals that African competitors appear to only be mulling over. At the upcoming Chegutu plant, Shuntai Investments is hiring 400 local people to work alongside its technicians. Over at Zvishvane in Midlands province, 120 people work at Zimbabwe’s newest grinding plant, opened just under a year ago in September 2025 by China-based Livetouch Investments. On 24 February 2026, the High Court of Zimbabwe found that Livetouch Investments had breached its contract with the Zvishvane plant’s coal fines supplier, locally-based Avim Investments, by not paying it.¹

Zimbabwe will celebrate its 50th and Mozambique its 55th anniversary of independence in 2030; Zambia’s 65th will be in 2029. Whether geopolitical multipolarity will be able to serve these countries better than the old extractive postcolonialism depends on the relationships between local networks on the one hand and plant managers under pressure to deliver results on the other. These relationships, however, take time.

References

1 NewZimbabwe, 'Chinese firm Livetouch ordered to pay US$380k to transporter in long-running debt saga, 24 February 2026,' www.newzimbabwe.com/chinese-firm-livetouch-ordered-to-pay-us380k-to-transporter-in-long-running-debt-saga/

UltraTech Cement agreed to buy a 26% stake in a solar power company this week. As many readers may know this is a common occurrence in the Indian cement sector due to local electricity legislation. Read on to find out more and why there may have been more such  deals in 2026.

The Aditya Birla Group subsidiary agreed on 12 August 2026 to acquire a 26% stake in Solaris Horizon Energy for around US$3m. The latter company generates and transmits renewable energy. It was established in late 2025 and is a special purpose vehicle (SPV) intended to supply 91MWp DC or 65MW AC solar power in Chhattisgarh on a captive basis from a solar plant located in Mungeli. UltraTech Cement said that it made the transaction to meet its “...green energy needs, optimising energy cost and comply with regulatory requirements for captive power consumption under electricity laws.”

Other recent and similar acquisitions by UltraTech Cement include the purchase of 26% stakes in AMPIN C&I Power Forty Four in Odisha and Sunsure Solarpark Seven in Uttar Pradesh in March 2026. Elsewhere, Dalmia Bharat agreed to buy a 26% stake (on a fully-diluted basis) for US$1.8m in Oyster Green Hybrid Five in April 2026. This deal was to source 21.6MW (wind) and 14MWp (solar) for its plant at Kadapa in Andhra Pradesh. JK Lakshmi Cement agreed to buy at least a 26% stake for US$2.1m in STLC RE 1 in August 2026. The latter company is setting up a 29MW AC or 42MWp DC solar plant and a 28MWh battery energy storage system (BESS) to supply the cement producer’s Sirohi plant in Rajasthan. The addition of energy storage may be significant here as industrial users start to make renewable sources work 24-hours per day. In June 2026 it agreed to buy 26% stakes in DynoSpark Private and Elevate Solar Energy to supply its Udaipur and Durg cement plants respectively. And the list goes on…

Often Global Cement reports on cement companies entering into power purchase agreements (PPA) with renewable generators. In India the so-called 26% rule dates back to local legislation on electricity from the early 2000s. Under these laws to qualify as a captive power consumer a company needs to own at least 26% of a power project and use at least 51% of the electricity generated. The company then benefits from this by not having to pay cross-subsidy surcharges and additional surcharges. Hence the interest in SPVs. The earlier approach to this was for cement companies to buy 26% (or larger) stakes in captive thermal power plants or waste heat recovery (WHR) plants. They then started to switch to renewables from the late 2010s as the cost fell and sustainability targets grew. Further change came in 2026 when the government modernised the rules to include allowing the corporate group share to be 26% rather than on an individual plant basis.

India added 26GW of solar capacity and 3GW of wind capacity in the first half of 2026, according to JMK Research. This was nearly 70% of the total capacity added in 2025 as a whole, itself a strong year for renewables. Data from the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy placed the country’s cumulative renewable energy installed capacity at about 288GW. Anecdotally, as the examples above and others show, there also appears to have been a surge in cement companies in India buying 26% shares in renewable energy companies so far in 2026. As UltraTech Cement’s chair Kumar Mangalam Birla revealed at his company’s annual general meeting this week, in the 2026 financial year his company “...commissioned 371MW of renewable power and 63 MW of WHR systems. Green energy now accounts for 35.8% of [the] company’s total power mix.”

One driver has been the higher fuel costs arising from the US war with Iran. This has created some mixed financial results for Indian cement companies during the first quarter of 2026. As local press revealed this week, UltraTech Cement and Nuvoco Vistas reported growth in profits. Yet, Ambuja Cements, Shree Cement, Dalmia Bharat, JK Lakshmi Cement and Birla Corporation reported falling profits despite growing revenues.

These conditions look set to continue as the financial year progresses. Alongside this, expect to see more investment by cement companies in renewables. 26% looks set to remain the magic number for India-based cement producers under current energy supply conditions.

Half-year financial results from some of the major cement producers outside of China show a general positive trend in 2026 to-date. The North American market is still delivering for these companies but the focus on growth for some has shifted to aggregates. Elsewhere in the world, in developing markets, the effects of geopolitical events in the Middle East are having an effect on balance sheets. Read on for our round-up.

Figure 1: Sales of selected major multinational cement producers in first half of 2026. Source: Company financial reports. Note: Figures calculated for Indian companies.

CRH’s sales in the first half of 2026 benefited from its acquisition of Eco Material Technologies in 2025 and higher prices for aggregates. Cement sales volumes in its Americas Materials Solutions division grew but pricing slowed. Both cement volumes and prices increased in the group’s international division outside of North America. Sales volumes of aggregates were high (above 5%) everywhere. CEO Jim Mintern pointedly described the company as the “leading aggregates and critical infrastructure player in North America” in the second quarter results in connection to the June 2025 announcement that it is buying Arcosa for US$8.5bn.

Heidelberg Materials’ sales revenue from cement fell slightly in most regions with the exception of North America. Sales of aggregates, ready-mixed concrete and asphalt rose. In Europe, the group’s largest area, it said that for cement “construction activity remains subdued as a result of higher interest rates, a decline in real purchasing power and a significant rise in construction costs.” Cement and clinker volumes in North America grew modestly with a significant increase in the Midwest US and a moderate decline in the Northwest region. Cement and clinker volumes in the group’s Africa-Mediterranean-Western Asia group area fell slightly and this was attributed to poor market conditions in certain countries. Volumes did rise in Türkiye, where the company increased its stake in subsidiary Akçansa to 79% from 40% in June 2026.

Holcim reported organic growth of 5% year-on-year in the first half of 2026. However, like-for-like sales barely rose. This was due to the divestment of Amrize in June 2025. The acquisitions of Cementos Pacasmayo and Xella in the first half of 2026 were insufficient to compensate much so far. Encouragingly, much of that organic growth came from the sale of building materials. The group’s largest geographic area by revenue, Europe, reported sales driven by markets in Germany, Switzerland, Spain, Greece and East Europe, with help from its acquisition of precast concrete producer Alkern in January 2026. Its Asia, Middle East & Africa segment was noticeably smaller in the first half of 2026 due to the sale of Lafarge Africa in mid-2025. 

Cemex enjoyed a strong first half with sales, earnings and cement volumes driven by good performance in Mexico. It attributed this to rising demand, cost cutting and a “pricing strategy designed to offset input cost inflation." Sales were up elsewhere but earnings fell in the US. This was blamed on rising material and freight costs, as well as bad weather in Texas. In Europe the group singled out promising cement sales volumes in Spain and the Czech Republic. It also said that the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), along with the reduction in allowances, “have been and should continue to be supportive of higher prices.”

Of the other companies covered, UltraTech Cement reported sales growth of 16% year-on-year to US$2.57bn in the first quarter of its 2027 financial year (to 30 June 2026). It noted that it had turned a net loss for its acquisition of The India Cements in the corresponding quarter in 2025 to a profit in the current one, demonstrating its “ability to rapidly stabilise, integrate and improve acquired assets.” Its cement sales volumes were up by 13% to 39.2Mt with a capacity utilisation rate of 81% from a local production capacity of around 200Mt/yr. The news it didn’t share so readily was that its costs grew by 16% in the most recent quarter compared to 8% last year. By contrast, Adani Cement’s main subsidiary Ambuja Cements did point out the effects of higher imported fuel costs, including petcoke and thermal coal, and logistics costs originating from “geopolitical developments in West Asia.” Both its sales volumes of cement and revenues fell in the first quarter of the 2027 financial year. It further warned of peak fuel cost inflation in the second quarter. The company aims to fight this with cost cutting and efficiency savings.

Finally, Dangote Cement delivered a robust result in the first half of 2026 with its international markets rebounding. Inflation may have picked up at home in Nigeria but the company still managed to increase its sales volumes of cement by 8% to 9.7Mt. Volumes and revenue jumped up elsewhere but earnings were flat. The company also noted that exports of cement from Nigeria rose by 62% to 1.1Mt. It will be interesting to see whether this once more becomes an issue for Dangote Cement should the price of cement in Nigeria be deemed too high again in the court of public opinion.

That’s it for this selective view on the first half of 2026. We will follow this up in the coming weeks with a review of the situation in China.