Global Cement Newsletter

Issue: GCW468 / 12 August 2020

Headlines


There has been good news from the German Cement Works Association (VDZ) this week. Following a strong start to the year, the association expects cement consumption in 2020 to remain similar to the level, 28.7Mt, reported in 2019. VDZ president Christian Knell acknowledged the difficulty in making forecasts, this year of all years, but said that the association remained positive since demand had held up so well. He noted the continued operation of construction sites, despite the local coronavirus-related lockdown from March 2020, and the ‘quick action’ of politicians.

Graph 1: German cement deliveries, 2015 – 2019: Source: German Cement Works Association (VDZ).

Graph 1: German cement deliveries, 2015 – 2019: Source: German Cement Works Association (VDZ).

The year certainly started well, with a 33% year-on-year increase in domestic cement deliveries to 1.43Mt in January 2020 from 1.07Mt in January 2019. This was due in part to good weather, although it also looks good because 2019 started badly compared to 2018. Yet, the VDZ’s assessment has been supported by the results of the main producers operating in the country. HeidelbergCement reported that Germany bucked the trend of its Western and Southern Europe Group area in the first half of 2020 with a ‘positive market development’ whereas deliveries declined significantly everywhere else. Similarly, LafargeHolcim noted a ‘resilient’ performance in Germany. Buzzi Unicem released a more detailed assessment, with shipments of hydraulic binders down in April and May 2020 but then back up with a recovery in June 2020. Overall its cement plants reported a slight decline in sales for the first half of the year. Concrete production grew however, by 6% year-on-year, possibly aided by the plants that the group purchased in 2019.

Germany’s success appears to be down to two factors. The first, as Knell mentioned above, is that it was able to keep much of its construction industry open through its lockdown. Dieter Babiel, the head of Hauptverband der Deutschen Bauindustrie – the main German construction industry association - reckoned that the industry was operating at about 80% capacity in May 2020 compared to the situation in other large European countries like France, the UK, Spain and Italy where building sites totally closed at the height of local lockdowns before gradual reopening. Bauindustrie has since reported falling monthly order intake as coronavirus-effects on the general economy filter through to construction. The other reason is that the country has managed to control its outbreak better compared to other European countries. It has reported the third most cases in Europe but its fatality rate is only 4% compared to 14% in the UK, Italy and France. This has been attributed to strong public health measures and high levels of testing, particularly with respect to elderly residential care.

It’s not all plain sailing though since the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected a 7.8% decline in Germany’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020. Likewise, the VDZ is predicting weakening construction markets and cement demand in the fourth quarter of 2020. It cited falling orders and requests for building permits as mounting evidence for this trend. From here a gloomier outlook is foreseen for 2021 as construction budgets for commercial and government projects are cut. At the same time uncertainty in the labour market is expected to drag down the residential market. With this in mind the VDZ is predicting cement demand to drop by 3 – 5% in 2021.

To end on an upbeat note, if the VDZ’s forecasts are accurate, then the German cement sector looks like it might weather the coronavirus-downturn better than other industries. It knows a downturn in construction is coming and it can prepare for it.


Brazil: InterCement has appointed Wilson Nelio Brumer as the chairman of its board of directors. He succeeds Franklin Feder, who has resigned after nearly three years in the position.

Brumer has held chief executive officer (CEO) roles at large companies including Vale, Acesita and Usiminas. He has also been the chairman or on the board of directors at organisations such as BHP Billiton, Cemig, CCR, Direcional Engenharia, Embraer, Localiza, Metso and Fundação Renova. Currently, he is the president of the board of the Brazilian Mining Institute (IBRAM) and, since April 2020, chairman and CEO of InterCement’s controlling shareholder, Mover Participações.


Germany: The Verein Deutscher Zementwerke (VDZ) has forecast domestic cement consumption of 28.7Mt in 2020, consistent with the 2019 level. The impacts of the coronavirus lockdown were offset by “a good start to the year, not least due to the weather conditions” and “the continued operation of construction sites in March thanks to the quick actions of politicians.”

The organisation said that the situation was unprecedentedly unpredictable with orders and building permits currently in decline. It expects demand to partly tail off in the fourth quarter of 2020, falling by between 3 - 5%, as companies postpone or discard planned developments in the face of restricted budgets. It said, “Nonetheless, the government’s economic stimulus pacts will undoubtedly provide a positive impetus through such initiatives as public infrastructure and multi-family housing projects.


China: Anhui Conch has announced the start of production at its subsidiary Basu Conch’s 0.9Mt/yr-capacity clinker production line, its first in the Tibet Autonomous Region. Anhui Conch Sichuan and Chongqing regional director Zhang Laihui said, “Thanks to its mature corporate management, Basu Conch has built an industrial plant in the wilderness in 468 days – that’s ’Conch speed.’ Our group mission of ’industrial aid to Tibet’ stands as an example of good management, development and efficiency in public-private cooperation.”


Bangladesh: Cement producers imported US$760,000-worth of raw materials in the 2020 financial year which ended on 30 June 2020, down by 13% year-on-year from US$874,000 in the 2019 financial year. Clinker, calcareous stone, granulated blast furnace slag (GBFS) and gypsum imports totalled 18.6Mt, down by 11% from 21.0Mt, compared to annual growth of 15 - 20% since 2010.

The Daily Star newspaper has reported that this was due to decreased cement demand, with sales falling to 65,000t in April 2020 from 125,000t in March 2020 on account of the start of the nationwide coronavirus lockdown. Premier Cement managing director Amirul Islam said, “We are not getting the benefits we expected from the government. The sector’s capital is gradually running out, so all kinds of discretionary tax cuts are needed to save this industry.”

Bangladeshi cement producers import raw materials from Thailand, Vietnam and China.


Japan: Taiheiyo Cement recorded a net profit between 1 March 2020 and 30 June 2020, the first quarter of the 2021 financial year, of US$30.6m, down by 42% year-on-year from US$52.6m in the first quarter of the 2020 financial year. Sales fell by 3% to US$1.88bn from US$1.94bn. The company said that the coronavirus outbreak affected sales in all regions.

 


India: Star Cement’s profit in the first quarter of the 2021 financial year, to 30 June 2020, fell by 47% year-on-year to US$5.91m from US$11.2m. This was caused by a by 37% decline in sales to US$39.0m from US$61.6m. Earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) also fell, by 42% to US$8.72m from US$15.0m.


France: Imerys has signed an agreement to buy a 60% stake of Haznedar Group, a Turkey-based monolithic refractories and refractory bricks producer for the cement, steel, iron and petrochemical markets. The acquisition is expected to conclude in the fourth quarter of 2020 subject to approval by competition authorities. No value for the deal has been released.

The acquisition will add basic and acidic refractory bricks to Imerys’ product range and extend its industrial footprint with a production base in Turkey. It is also expected to strengthen its position within the Turkish market. The business will be consolidated in Imerys’ High Temperature Solutions business area, part of its High Temperature Materials & Solutions segment.


Uzbekistan: South Korea-based Caris is considering build a cement plant in the Beruni region of Karakalpakstan. This follows the completion of geological studies in conjunction with the local government, according to the Dunyo News Agency. Caris is now working on a feasibility study for the project before arranging finance.


Philippines: Eagle Cement recorded a net profit of US$26.5m in the first half of 2020, down by 61% year-on-year from US$68.0m. Sales also fell, by 44% to US$120m from US$214m.

Chief executive officer (CEO) Paul Ang said, “These are very difficult times but we remain confident that the economy will recover from this pandemic and emerge stronger. The government’s steady push for the completion of major infrastructure projects and the private sector’s readiness to bounce back offer encouraging signs for our company’s prospects moving forward.” He added, “More aggressive strategies in pricing and marketing will be undertaken in the remaining half of the year.”


Argentina: Loma Negra’s first-half net profit declined by 68% year-on-year in 2020 to US$14.2m from US$44.4m in the 2019. Sales fell by 30% to US$215m from US$306m. The company said that business was “impacted by the increasing complexities of the Covid-19 pandemic,” but that a strong recovery in bagged cement sales beginning in May 2020 was an indicator of general growth to come in the second half of the year.


India: Shree Cement recorded a profit of US$49.6m between 1 April 2020 and 30 June 2020, up by 2.1% year-on-year from US$48.6m in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year. Sales fell by 23% to US$311m from US$406m due to the impacts of the coronavirus lockdown, which ended during the quarter, on cement demand.


India: JSW Group has delayed the initial public offering for its subsidiary JSW Cement to 2022 from December 2020 due to lack of demand for cement. Mint News has reported that the company will increase its cement production capacity during the intervening period by 43% to 20Mt/yr from 14Mt/yr.

Managing director Parth Jindal said, “A second consecutive year of decline in cement demand has delayed our expansion plans.” He added, "We will restart capital expenditure projects worth US$160m in October 2020. We're adding 1.5Mt/yr of integrated capacity and 3.0Mt/yr of grinding capacity."

JSW Cement’s cement production fell by 30% year-on-year in the three months that ended on 30 June 2020.


Australia: James Hardie’s operating profit in the three-month period ended 30 June 2020 was US$89.3m, down by 1% year-on-year from US$90.2m in the corresponding period of 2019. Earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) were US$125m, consistent with the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal year.

Chief executive officer (CEO) Jack Truong said, “In February 2019 we launched a global strategy to transform James Hardie from a big small company to a small big company capable of delivering growth above market with strong returns, consistently. This is our fifth consecutive quarter of delivering strong results in line with the core goal of that strategy: growth above market and strong returns. I am very pleased to note that not only do we remain on track with our transformation, but we are also accelerating our transformation during the coronavirus pandemic.”


Vietnam: Cement producers sold 45.7Mt of cement and clinker in the first half of 2020, down by 3% year-on-year from 47.1Mt in the first half of 2019. Exports grew by 1% to 15.6Mt from 15.4Mt. The Vietnamese National Cement Association (VNCA) says that producers retain a total of 0.8Mt of cement and 4.2Mt of clinker in inventory.


India: Birla Corporation has shared details of its plans for a US$9.68m upgrade to its 1.3Mt/yr Durgapur, West Bengal grinding plant to expand the plant’s capacity to 1.5Mt/yr. The Times of India newspaper has reported that the company is planning to install a 0.2Mt/yr capacity vertical roller mill at the plant in response to “expected robust demand for premium slag-based cement in the eastern region.”

Birla Corporations recorded a profit of US$8.77m in the three months ended 31 June 2020, the first quarter of the Indian fiscal year, down by 53% year-on-year from US$18.8m in the corresponding period of 2019. Sales fell by 35% to US$163m from US$252m due to subdued demand during the coronavirus lockdown.


India: JK Lakshmi Cement’s profit in the three-month period ending 31 June 2020, the first quarter of the Indian fiscal year, was US$5.93m, up by 13% year-on-year from US$5.26m in the three months to 31 June 2019. Sales fell by 20% to US$111m from US$140m due to the impacts of the coronavirus outbreak.


Fiji: Pacific Cement has been forced to suspend production at its 0.1Mt/yr-capacity integrated Lami cement plant in Rewa Province following the issue of a stop order by the Department of Environment on 7 August 2020. Truck drivers employed by the company say that they are losing US$300/day as a result, according to the Fiji Times newspaper.

The Lami cement plant previously suspended operations subject to a stop order from the Department of Environment due to complaints about dust emissions on 7 December 2018.


US: A container at the Jobe Materials concrete plant in El Paso, Texas exploded early on 9 August 2020, causing damage to communication wires at the plant. KVIA News has reported that there were no injuries, nor any damage to buildings, resulting from the explosion. Fire services are investigating the incident.


China: Asia Cement China’s revenue dropped by 29% year-on-year to US$620m in the first half of 2020 from US$868m in the same period in 2019. Its cement and clinker sales volumes fell by 24.4% to 11.1Mt from 14.74Mt. Its profit for the period declined by 41% to US$131m from US$223m. The group said that in the central and downstream region of the Yangtze River the market peaked in May 2020 following coronavirus-related disruption. However, flooding then reduced demand. In Sichuan, coronavirus and foreign imports reduced the price of cement in the first quarter of 2020.


India: Dalmia Bharat says that price rises and cost cutting helped it to improve its profits in the first quarter of the Indian financial year. Its income from operations fell by 22% year-on-year to US$263m in the quarter to 30 June 2020 from US$338m in the same period in 2019. Its cement sales volumes dropped by 20% to 3.66Mt from 4.55Mt. Its earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) decreased by 8% to US$81.9m from US$88.9m. However, its profit after tax grew by 24% to US$25.1m from US$20.3m.

The group said that, once the coronavirus-related lockdown in April 2020 ended, cement demand picked up due to infrastructure projects and the residential sector, especially in east India, with an emphasis on rural markets. It also reported that the ongoing upgrade to grinding plants has been delayed by the health situation with completion rescheduled to December 2020.


India: Mangalam Cement has fully commissioned an 11MW waste heat recovery (WHR) unit at its integrated Morak plant in Rajasthan. About half of the capacity of the unit was previously commissioned in January 2020. Completion of the remaining portion was delayed from early 2020 due to coronavirus.


US: Dragon Products has been fined US$67,000 by the Maine Department of Environmental Protection for exceeding air emissions regulations since 2013. Ammonia, carbon monoxide and particulate matter levels were all breeched, according to the Bangor Daily News newspaper. Other irregularities with standards were also noted, such as baghouse inlet temperature limits and clinker cooler opacity standards.


Indonesia: Indocement celebrated its 45th anniversary on 4 August 2020. To mark the occasion the company held tumpeng cutting ceremonies at four of its sites, issued new staff identification cards with updated logos and organised social media dance and singing competitions between different plants and divisions. The company’s President Director Christian Kartawijaya also inaugurated an expansion to the research and training centre at the integrated Cieureup plant in West Java. The cement producer became a subsidiary of Germany-based HeidelbergCement in 2001.


Colombia: Cementos Argos’ says its sales volumes in the first half of 2020 were affected by coronavirus-related lockdown measures in Colombia and some countries of Central America and the Caribbean. These markets have since recovered gradually as quarantine measures were eased. Its revenue fell by 4.6% year-on-year to US$1.14bn in the first half of 2020 from 1.20bn in the same period in 2019. Cement and ready-mixed concrete (RMC) sales volumes declined by 15% to 6.79Mt and 19.9% to 4.05Mm3 respectively. Earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped by 9.5% to US$200m.

“These results were driven mainly by the firm commitment of our employees in implementing the health and safety protocols and the saving initiatives contained within RESET (restart safe and healthy), together with the better-than-expected market dynamics particularly in the US and some of our markets in the Caribbean,” said Juan Esteban Calle, the group’s chief executive officer (CEO).

By region the group reported growing RMC sales and earnings, both on an adjusted basis, in the US in the second quarter of 2020. Cement volumes fell in the country, mainly due to lower cement sales volumes in the Northeast region, due to lockdown measures and reduced demand from the wholesale segment. In Colombia a complete national lockdown from the start of the second quarter reduced sales significantly. A mixed picture was presented in the Caribbean and Central America due to differences in government lockdown policy although overall sales and earnings were down.


Russia: Eurocement Group’s exports rose by 67% year-on-year to 0.33Mt in the first seven months of 2020 from 0.20Mt in the same period in 2019. Deliveries to the Belarus, Finland, Latvia, Estonia and Kazakhstan have grown significantly. The group says it managed this despite coronavirus-related lockdowns with construction project suspensions in many markets.


Portugal: Cimpor has won a contract to supply cement for a new 80km railway line linking Elvas to Évora. It expects to delivery up to 0.14Mt of cement for the project, according to the Dinheiro Vivo newspaper. Cement will be supplied from its Alhandra integrated plant and ready-mixed concrete from other sites. The project is expected to be completed in early 2023.


Australia: Adelaide Brighton says its sites in Victoria can continue to operate during coronavirus-related lockdown measures that have been implemented until mid-September 2020. It said it would work with its customers, “to assess their requirements for construction materials and modify production levels in response to demand.” The company operates a jointly-owned cement grinding plant in Melbourne as well as concrete and aggregate units in the state.


Japan: Taiheiyo Cement is starting large-scale recycling of large lithium-ion batteries at its integrated Tsuruga plant. It has been developing the process with Matsuda Sangyo since 2011 using exhaust gases from clinker production as part of dismantling, crushing and sorting processes to extract precious metals from the batteries. Taiheiyo Cement, its subsidiary Tsuruga Cement and Matsuda Sangyo started a recycling business in April 2020 following certification by the Japan Auto Recycling Partnership (JARP).


Austria: RHI Magnesita’s revenue from its cement and lime market fell by 12.1% year-on-year to Euro160m in the first half of 2020 from Euro182m in the same period of 2019. It said that the segment performed well in the first quarter of 2020 as producers maintained and repaired plants. Second quarter performance was negatively affected by coronavirus, “with a sharp contraction in demand in key end-markets, leading to reduced production and some temporary closures of cement plants in certain regions.” The group forecasts that its cement and lime segment will continue to follow the trend of the second quarter of 2020 although government stimulus projects, especially for infrastructure projects, may improve the situation.