Displaying items by tag: decline

Vietnam: Cement and clinker exports fell by 37% year-on-year to 2Mt in January 2025, according to the General Statistics Office (GSO). Exports were worth US$76m, a fall of 36% year-on-year. The decline has continued a downward trend that began in early 2022, with trade barriers in key markets such as the Philippines and Taiwan restricting exports, according to local news reports. The 10% export tax on clinker, imposed in 2023, has also added to industry challenges. The Ministry of Construction submitted a report in January 2025 to the Prime Minister, warning of potential cement plant closures.

Cuba: Cement production fell to 258,000t in 2024, representing only 10% of the country’s installed capacity, according to the OSDE Group of Business Construction Materials. President Reynolds Ramírez Vigaud attributed the decline to energy shortages amid national financial challenges.

The sector's problems date back to 2017, according to CiberCuba, when capacity utilisation was 58%. Despite initiatives such as the first ‘eco-friendly’ cement production in 2018 and the reopening of the Sancti Spíritus cement plant in 2022, the industry has faced logistical issues and plant shutdowns. This has a knock-on effect on the government’s annual housing plan and the inability to meet domestic demand for cement. The government is also prioritising the export of cement to obtain foreign currency, worsening shortages and increasing prices.

New cement plants at Nuevitas and Santiago de Cuba will begin production in 2025.

Argentina: Cement despatches dropped by 24% year-on-year to 9.56Mt in 2024, the lowest annual level reported since 2009, according to the Association of Portland Cement Manufacturers. Total dispatches in 2024 reached 9.5Mt, 24% lower compared to 2023 when dispatches were 12.5Mt. Dispatches in December 2024 showed the lowest yearly percentage decline, falling by 5% year-on-year to 0.77Mt, 12% less than was recorded in November 2024. This marks 21 consecutive months of declines. The declines recorded from December 2023 coincide with the decision announced by President Javier Milei to end the execution of public works by the national government.

Global: The World Cement Association has released a white paper titled ‘Long-Term Forecast for Cement and Clinker Demand’, authored by CEO Ian Riley. The paper predicts a global decline in cement demand to 3Bnt/yr by 2050, with clinker demand dropping to 1.5Bnt/yr.

The report attributes the decline to decarbonisation, technological advancements and market dynamics, with the need for carbon capture and storage consequently reduced.

Ian Riley said “The cement industry is undergoing an unprecedented transformation. As we move towards a decarbonised future, understanding the true demand for cement and clinker is critical to ensuring that policies, technologies and investments align with reality. This white paper aims to provide industry leaders and policymakers with the clarity needed to plan effectively and sustainably.”

The analysis also explores disruptive factors such as alternative materials, supply chain optimisation and clinker-free technologies, presenting three scenarios to guide stakeholders in adapting to industry changes and fostering innovation.

Pakistan: The cement industry in Pakistan is experiencing a significant decline, with local dispatches for September 2024 projected to fall by 22% year-on-year to approximately 2.79Mt. This decline is reportedly due to a slowdown in construction activities, exacerbated by rising costs of construction materials. According to Topline Pakistan Research, local cement sales for the first quarter of the financial year 2025 are also expected to decrease by 21% compared to the same period in 2023.

Despite a slight month-on-month increase in dispatches from 2.75Mt in August 2024, the year-on-year data highlights a continuing slump in construction and a sharp increase in cement prices. However, there cement exports are projected to increase by 27% month-on-month and 36% year-on-year. Total cement sales for September are estimated at 3.56Mt, marking a 14% decline year-on-year but a 6% increase from August 2024. Capacity utilisation in the sector is estimated at 52% for September 2024, an improvement from August 2024’s 47% but still below the 60% recorded in September 2023.

Thailand/Myanmar: Siam Cement Group (SCG) has suspended the operations of two plants in Myanmar and halted any expansion plans over the next two years amid ongoing economic decline and political instability. The economic situation in Myanmar has deteriorated since the outbreak of Covid-19 and was exacerbated by the 2021 military coup and continuing conflicts between the junta government and various ethnic groups, reports The Nation newspaper.

SCG's executive vice president, Thammasak Sethaudom, stated that the company has invested over US$240m in these facilities. He said "There is no hope of resuming operations anytime soon. Myanmar has another cement plant in the north, owned by a Chinese company and guarded by the Chinese military. SCG could not do that and we would not risk our employees’ lives."

Tunisia: Les Ciments de Bizerte continues to face disruptions due to a financial crisis, limiting its operations to grinding imported clinker and managing petcoke shipments for third parties, African Manager News reports. Clinker production has been suspended throughout the second quarter of 2024, due to a lack of petcoke.

Cement production plummeted by 70% to 33,282t in the second quarter of 2024 from 109,855t during the same period in 2023. Lime production also declined by 37% due to reduced national demand. Local sales in the first half of 2024 decreased by 60% from US$16.3m in 2023 to US$6.6m in 2024, with exports completely halted during the first half of 2024. The company is in the process of paying off its debts.

Colombia: The cement sector in Colombia is experiencing difficulties due to a contraction in the construction sector. This is attributed to an economic slowdown that has impacted on housing and infrastructure projects. From January – April 2024, cement production declined by 4% year-on-year. The industry is also contending with high production costs, which have reduced profit margins. Delays in infrastructure projects, influenced by the transition in local governments, have further affected demand for cement.

Switzerland: Cement deliveries in Switzerland decreased by 8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, reaching 965,200t. Over the first half of 2024, a decline of 8% to 1.8Mt was also reported. Industry organisation Cemsuisse attributes the drop to economic uncertainties, supply chain disruptions and high energy prices. Although civil engineering projects may stabilise the market, a quick recovery in residential construction is not anticipated, according to a press release given by Cemsuisse on 9 July 2024.

Austria: Austria's cement industry produced approximately 4.4Mt in 2023, a 15% decrease from 2022. According to Holcim Austria CEO, Berthold Kren, there will be another double-digit decline in 2024. Kren highlighted a significant downturn in construction sectors, with a notable drop in housing permits. Infrastructure construction in eastern Austria is also decreasing, aligning with broader negative economic trends affecting the industrial construction sector.