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Update on China, August 2022
31 August 2022The larger cement producers in China have published their half-year financial results and the numbers are looking grim. Starting with data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China, cement output in the country fell by 14.5% year-on-year to 979Mt in the first half of 2022 from 1.14Bnt in the same period in 2021. This is the lowest first half output figure since 2012. The decline on a monthly basis started in May 2021 and has carried on consistently since then. Rolling cumulative annual output hit a low of 2.18Bnt in July 2022, the lowest figure since at least the start of 2019 and well before the coronavirus pandemic started.
Graph 1: Cement output in China, 2018 to 2022. Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China.
The financial figures from the cement producers have mostly followed this trend. Of the companies covered here, Anhui Conch’s drop in sales revenue was the most distinct at 30% year-on-year to US$8.14bn. However, Jidong Cement actually managed to increase its revenue and Huaxin Cement’s decrease was fairly small, possibly due to its growing stable of overseas projects. None of these companies could avoid falling cement and clinkers sales volumes though. Again, Anhui Conch is the outlier here with a larger fall in sales volumes proportionally at nearly 40% compared to around 20% for the rest. Chen Bolin, the deputy secretary-general of China Cement Association (CCA), told the 21st Century Business Herald newspaper that of the 20 or so listed cement companies that have published their half-year reports by the end of August 2022, more than half had reported falling sales revenue and net profit and only one company had managed to increase its net profit.
Graph 2: Sales revenue from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports. Note: Cement revenue shown only for CNBM & Taiwan Cement.
Graph 3: Sales volumes of cement and clinker from selected Chinese cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.
The financial reports from the Chinese cement companies detailed here have been fairly light on the reasons for the current state of the sector. Repeated coronavirus outbreaks, instability in the real estate market, a lack of funding for infrastructure projects, growing energy and raw materials costs, pressure on prices and a generally weak economy have all been blamed for the situation. Media channels outside of China have continued to scan the country’s real estate sector for signs of collapse following Evergrande’s problems in 2021. However Chen Bolin diplomatically held back by describing the real estate market as not yet stabilised and a drag on cement demand. Instead he hoped that large-scale infrastructure projects would offer some form of relief.
One last point to note, that both the CCA has made and could be seen in some of the company reports, is that some of the Chinese cement companies are already starting to diversify their businesses. This is in parallel to what some of the larger western-based multinational cement producers have also been doing in recent years with forays into concrete, light building materials and construction chemicals. CNBM already has large concrete, light building materials and engineering subsidiaries. However, Huaxin Cement and Anhui Conch have also started to branch out recently into aggregates, concrete and new energy generation, in the case of the latter company. Things may get worse before they get better, especially depending when or if the Chinese government decides to act on the real estate market. However, whatever kind of adjustment the cement sector may face, there are some signs present already of what some of the companies may do next.
Argentina: Holcim Argentina has appointed Gerardo Kemnitz as its Director of Operations. He will lead Holcim’s operations in the country, where it operates three integrated cement plants and one grinding unit.
Kemnitz started working for the group in 1988 and spent the next 20 years working in maintenance roles at different plants. He later became a Health and Safety consultant for the Americas, Europe and Asia before being appointed as the director of the Tecomán plant in Mexico in 2014. More recently he worked as the manager of the Malagueño plant in Argentina.
Gonzalo Cavada appointed as new head of Magotteaux
31 August 2022Belgium: Magotteaux has appointed Gonzalo Cavada as its chief executive officer with effect from 31 October 2022. He will succeed Sébastien Dossogne, who will stay in post until the end of October 2022 as part of a transition period. Cavada will be based in Vaux-sous-Chèvremont in Belgium, at Magotteaux’s headquarters.
Cavada currently works as the chief financial officer of Magotteaux’s parent company Sigdo Koppers (SK). He previously worked for SK’s acquisition team when the Chile-based conglomerate purchased Magotteaux in 2011. He is a trained civil engineer who attended the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile and he holds a master’s degree in Business Administration (MBA) from the University of Cambridge.
China: CNBM has blamed declining sales of cement on repeated coronavirus outbreaks, a decline in the real estate market, lack of funding for infrastructure projects and a generally weak economy. Its cement sales revenue fell by 10% year-on-year to US$7.80bn in the first half of 2022 from US$8.65bn in the same period in 2021. Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped by 39% to US$1.72bn from US$2.82bn. Cement and clinker sales volumes decreased by 17.8% to 128Mt and 14.6% to 18Mt respectively. Sales volumes of concrete decreased by 24% to 39.5Mm3.
Overall, the group’s revenue fell by 11% to US$15.8bn in the first half of 2022 from US$17.6bn in the same period in 2021. Its adjusted EBITDA dropped by 23% to US$2.87bn from US$3.71bn.
Anhui Conch’s revenue and profit falls so far in 2022
31 August 2022China: Anhui Conch’s operating revenue fell by 30% year-on-year to US$8.14bn in the first half of 2022 from US$11.6bn in the same period in 2021. Its net profit dropped by 33% to US$1.44bn from US$2.17bn. Its overall sales volumes of cement and clinker decreased by 37% to 130Mt. By region the group reported its biggest drop in sales volumes in East China. Anhui Conch blamed its falling sales and profit on continued coronavirus control measures, falling market demand and rising energy prices.
Huaxin Cement reports falling sales and profits
31 August 2022China: Huaxin Cement’s operating income decreased by 2% year-on-year to US$2.08bn in the first half of 2022 from US$2.13bn in the same period in 2021. Its net profit dropped by 35% to US$230m from US$353m. Its sales volumes of cement and clinker declined by 22% to 29Mt. Domestically, the group blamed the situation on the coronavirus pandemic, a “sharp” decline in demand for cement, the high cost of fuel and pressure on prices.
China: China Resources Cement’s (CRC) turnover fell by 21% year-on-year to US$2.05bn in the first half of 2022 from US$2.57bn in the same period in 2021. Its profit decreased by 50% to US$230m from US$463m. Its cement and concrete sales volumes dropped by 26% to 30.7Mt and 23% to 5.4Mm3 respectively. However, its clinker sales volumes rose by 5% to 2Mt. The group also reported that the capacity utilisation rate for its cement and clinker production lines were 70% and 87% in the first half of 2022 compared to 97% and 108% in the same period in 2021.
Paraguay: Cementos Concepción (CECON) has started commissioning its new plant at San Lázaro in the Concepción department by grinding raw material. Alexander Gonzalez, the project manager for the plant, told La Nación newspaper that start-up of the unit had been successful and that the process would now continue along the production line. The plant’s kiln is expected to start operation in October 2022.
Kenya: Bamburi Cement’s turnover rose by 3% year-on-year to US$168m in the first half of 2022 from US$164m in the same period of 2012. However, its profit before tax tumbled by 89% to US$1.03m from US$9.25m. The subsidiary of Switzerland-based Holcim attributed its rising turnover to mounting sales volumes and rising prices. However, it blamed its falling profit on “significant inflation of the fuel prices, logistics costs and imported clinker prices in both Kenya and Uganda.” It added that it expected the local market to improve after the Kenyan general election in August 2022 and growth in infrastructure spending in Uganda propped up by the oil industry.
Botswana targets cement exports by 2023
31 August 2022Botswana: Keletsositse Olebile, the chief executive officer of the Botswana Investment and Trade Centre, hopes that the country could become a net exporter of cement in 2023. Olebile made the comment whilst on a tour of the Matsiloje integrated cement plant, according to the Weekend Post newspaper. The cement company was recently acquired by Whale Rock Cement, a Chinese joint-venture based in Namibia. At present the plant is producing 0.1Mt/yr and following a planned investment drive this may rise to 0.9Mt/yr. At present the country imports around 0.62Mt/yr of cement and it is hoped that expanding production at the Matsiloje plant could create the right conditions to create an export market. Matsiloje Portland Cement, the previous owners of the Matsiloje plant, closed in 2018 due to competition from South African imports.