
Displaying items by tag: India
PC Abraham appointed as managing director of Loesche India
19 December 2012India: PC Abraham has been appointed as the managing director of Loesche India. He took the post at the start of October 2012.
Abraham joined Loesche India in 1995 and has been working as executive director of the technical department. Under his leadership, Loesche India established a technical field service department. He was also responsible growth in the after sales business of the company.
Vertical rumour mill: Jaypee Group takeover tales
05 December 2012Step forward UltraTech Cement into the vertical rumour mill! The Indian cement producer is the latest company reported as wanting to buy Jaypee Group's cement business in Gujarat. It follows Italcementi, Aditya Birla and CRH, who announced in October 2012 that negotiations had been 'terminated' as the parties had been unable to agree terms.
This time the asking price has risen, with Ultratech allegedly offering US$160-165/t and Jaypee holding out for US$180-185/t. Whilst UltraTech hasn't publicly confirmed the move, it pointedly hasn't denied it either. The Aditya Birla Group subsidiary only commented to the Bombay Stock Exchange that it had not issued any press releases on the subject. Aditya Birla Group itself was reported in October 2012 as pursing interest at US$130/t for Jaypee's 9.8Mt/yr operations in Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh.
Given the number of rumours and cash-rich CRH's very public failure to strike a deal it seems likely that Jaypee has a specific price in mind and it's sticking to it. Prasad Baji of Edelweiss Securities stated in a television interview with CNBC-TV18 that he thought that the cement industry cycle was starting to look up. Crucially he predicted that India's capacity utilisation was set to rise from its current level of 78% to 82% despite price declines in the current quarter.
This is in sharp contrast with Fitch Ratings which rated the Indian cement industry with a negative outlook at the start of 2012 and reports in late May 2012 that capacity ultilisation had actually fallen from 76% to 71%. Since then ICRA Research reported in late September 2012 that it expected Indian capacity ultilisation to stick to 76% for 2012 with prices showing 'resistance' in some regions to cost increases due to rising input costs.
With all this in mind it seems likely that UltraTech will join the growing list of Jaypee's spurned buyers when it fails to reach terms or when the rumours simply fizzle out. However if UltraTech does strike a deal the Indian industry will be the one to watch in 2013. According to data in the Global Cement Directory 2013, an acquisition of nearly 10Mt/yr production capacity would boost UltraTech's capacity to 62Mt/yr making it the 12th largest cement company in the world.
Bertrand takes the reigns at Sagar Cements
24 October 2012India: Sagar Cements has announced its director, Wemer CR Poot, has resigned from the board with effect from 28 September 2012. John Eric Fernand Pascal Cesar Bertrand has been appointed as the new company director from 17 October 2012.
How much is an Indian cement plant worth?
08 August 2012Anyone need a spare cement plant? If so then it looks like India is the place to head to this week.
First, Italcementi denied that it was in talks with Jaiprakash Associates to buy one of their Jaypee Cement plants. Then, after much speculation, CRH announced publicly that it had entered negotiations to purchase an equity stake in Jaypee's entire cement business. In addition the Indian government has also revived a plan to sell six Cement Corporation of India (CCI) factories that have been closed for almost 10 years.
All of this raises a question: how much are Indian cement plants actually worth?
According to one source, Italcementi was thought to be offering US$100/t (installed capacity) in the bid it supposedly made but has denied making. Jaypee 'wanted' US$150/t. However analyst commentary with the CRH announcement suggested that Jaypee's asking price was too high! This is hardly surprising. Back in June 2012 when Jaiprakash announced that it was selling its plants it was reported that Holcim was offering up to US$160/t. Alongside the CCI story an analyst was quoted as putting the cost of Indian cement production capacity at US$110/t-US$120/t. Yet these plants have been shut for a decade.
Unlike in Europe, Indian cement industry profits have been rising in double digits in recent years. However, input costs like energy and transport are rising and they are starting to hit margins listed in quarterly reports. Serious additional costs have also arisen from the anti-cartel fines issued by the Competition Commission of India. Throw in questions on infrastructure raised by last week's nationwide power-cuts and Italcementi's (non)decision to stick to US$100/t seems prescient.
Unlike Italcementi however CRH has money to spend. Back in June 2012 it was reported that the company had Euro1.5bn to invest. With Euro250m gone in the first half of 2012 on so-called 'bolt-on' acquisitions that still leaves plenty in the pot to pick up the CCI plants. Now that would be a surprise.
People in the cement industry in brief
08 August 2012Pakistan: Flying Cement has made changes to its board of directors, effective 6 August 2012. The new board consists of Mr Agha Hamayun Khan (Chief Executive), Mr Kamran Khan (Director and Chairman) and Mr Momin Qamar, Mr Yousaf Kamran Khan, Mr Qasim Khan, Mrs Shaista Imran, Mrs Samina Kamran and Mrs Misbah Momin as directors.
Agha Hamayun Khan replaced Kamran Khan with effect from 23 July 2012.
India: Mangalam Cement Limited has said that Mr R C Gupta, Company Secretary, Compliance Officer and Chief Financial Officer of the company resigned with effect from 8 August 2012.
Indian power play
01 August 2012The power cuts in northern and eastern India this week will have presented citizens with a situation very familiar to Indian cement producers. With over half the country reported to be without electrical power after three power grids collapsed, industrial users are likely to have been shut down as the authorities try to bring back domestic supplies.
According to figures from the National Council for Cement and Building Materials, Indian cement producers used 79kWh/t of electrical energy in 2009 as production hit 181Mt. The Cement Manufacturers' Association placed these figures at 68-93kWh/t for a modern plant and 100-120kWh/t for older ones. In June 2012 the Central Electrical Authority reported the country's entire installed electrical capacity was 205GW.
It's difficult to estimate how much damage problems in power supply may have caused the Indian cement industry over the last few decades in either reduced volumes or increased running costs. The Cement Sustainability Initiative and European Cement Research Academy broke down the share of electrical power in a dry process plant as follows: 38% for cement grinding, 24% for raw material grinding, 22% for clinker production including grinding of solid fuels, 6% for raw material homogenisation, 5% for raw material extraction and blending and 5% for conveying, packing and loading. Generally speaking, interruption of power causes production losses and low capacity utilisation, idle running of equipment during stops and restarts of the plant, thermal losses during reheating, damage to refractory and other problems such as slowing down the train network.
Subsequently there has been a drive in India towards captive power generation and waste heat recovery (WHR) mechanisms, especially as input energy costs have risen. For example it has been reported that ACC's average cost of electricity per kWh from its captive plants is US$0.067 versus US$0.087 for grid power. Companies like Shree Cement have since gone into the electricity export market with their surpluses and, as shown by SP Ganeshan at the Global CemPower Conference in June 2012, interest in WHR is booming. Currently, the Indian cement industry has about 4000MW of installed captive generation capacity, including coal-based plants, diesel generating sets and wind turbines. Through various greenfield and brownfield expansion projects it is anticipated that another 2000MW of captive capacity will be added by 2016.
One sign of how well the Indian cement industry is coping with its energy requirements is the 74% rise in fourth quarter profit reported by Shree Cement in May 2012, in part due to savings made from captive power generation. Perhaps they could advise the Indian electricity board.
Birla Corporation promotes BR Nahar to MD
01 August 2012India: Birla Corporation has promoted BR Nahar to the managing director of the company. The decision was made at the board of directors meeting held on 28 July 2012. Nahar, a Fellow Member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India, holds more than 33 years professional experience. He became Birla's executive director and chief executive officer in 2006. He has served in diverse fields at senior positions in various large corporate houses.
Indian staff moves: in brief
25 July 2012India: Sagar Cements has appointed K Rajendra Prasad as its nominee director on the company's board. Previous to this Prasad was working as the deputy general manager (EPM) at the Andhra Pradesh Industrial Development Corporation in Hyderabad.
Shree Digvijay Cement Company, a subsidiary of Cimpor, has reported that Antonio Carlos Custodio de Morais Varela resigned as a director of the company on 17 July 2012. The move follows Custodio de Morais Varela's assignment to the executive committee of Cimpor following the takeover of the Portuguese producer by Brazil's Camargo Corrêa.
Cartel fine will cast a long shadow
27 June 2012India: The announcement last week that 11 Indian cement producers face a combined US$1.1bn penalty for a price-fixing cartel will cast a long shadow over the country's increasingly vulnerable-looking cement industry.
For years the Indian cement industry has been beset by suspicions of over-capacity despite a constant stream of new capacity. Now the Competition Commission of India (CCI) thinks that it has got to the heart of the paradox by accusing manufacturers of limiting production amid high demand and colluding to artificially raise prices.
The amount that the CCI has fined the companies, 50% of their net profits for the two fiscal years to 31 March 2011, is quite astonishing. If enforced in its entirety the fine effectively negates a large portion of the sector's profits for an entire fiscal year. This is clearly not a slap-on-the-wrist from the CCI.
In the 1990s and early 2000s a similar cartel case involving European (and specifically German) cement producers led to fines in the order of hundreds of thousands of US Dollars. The industry has since cleaned up its act considerably as a result. Indian producers would be foolish not to follow suit. What are the likely effects in the Indian case?
Removing the cartel that the CCI purports to have found would reduce prices, which are inflated by an oft-quoted 25% median in a cartel. This is clearly good news for consumers and potentially the development of the Indian economy in general. The obvious losers in this situation would be the producers, which would see a reduction in profitability. Some of the smaller producers would find such a situation very challenging, with the risk of going bust or being absorbed into larger companies.
Another possibility is that the accusations will spread along the value chain. Shortly after the announcement of the fine, the Builders' Association of India (BAI), announced that it wants the fine increased to accommodate compensation claims from contractors and consumers that it feels are out-of-pocket as a result of the cartel. Many will feel aggrieved now that they 'know' the cement companies were profiteering - sorting out claims from affected parties could be a long and costly exercise.
The effects of the fine could also extend to outside of India. Indian cement producers, very good customers of the Chinese and European cement plant manufacturers in recent years, will have to deal with lower revenues. This will clearly dampen their enthusiasm to contract further capacity and may cause knock-on-effects for Sinoma, KHD, Polysuis and other major suppliers. The cement industries of neighbouring countries, like Pakistan, may also be affected.
Whatever happens in the Indian cement industry as a result of the CCI's fine, the authority, only formed in 2009, has shown that it is serious about taking on corruption in India. In the long run that can only help develop the potential of the country.
"The first thing for any new competition regulator is to go out and find the cement cartel. My experience of this subject is, it is always there, somewhere," wrote Richard Whish, a Professor of Law at King's College London in 2001. "The only countries in which I had been unable to find the cement cartel is where there is a national state-owned monopoly for cement."
India - Calm before the storm
30 May 2012Two trends have put the squeeze on the Indian cement industry this week. Firstly it emerged that producers were slashing prices ahead of the coming monsoon season. Then the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) proclaimed that it expected cement prices to rise by 5.9% in the 2013 financial year.
Producers cutting prices in May, before the monsoon, is important because it suggests that overall cement demand is already down. Once the rains come demand will go down even more. A slowdown in construction, particularly in infrastructure projects, a labour shortage and a sand shortage have all been blamed. Looking ahead however, as the CMIE has done, suggests that prices have to go up due to the increase in railway freight charges announced in March 2012 and the excise duty hike announced in the Union Budget 2012-13. All that remains in the middle are the profit margins that the cement industry has become accustomed to.
Back in January 2012 Fitch Ratings predicted a 'negative outlook' for the Indian cement industry in 2012, based on overcapacity and higher interest rates. Now it seems that total capacity utilisation is down in 2012 compared to 2011, from 76.2% to 71.3%. Throw in the railway and duty increases and one might be tempted to feel that Fitch went easy on the subcontinent.
Yet, the cement producers have already found one silver lining in the monsoon season. Industry sources were soon reported as using price increases in the country's south zone and price decreases in the north zone as evidence that cartel-like behaviour couldn't possibly be happening. In a country as large as India perhaps they should have added the words 'nationally coordinated.' Despite the price drops, prices in the cities have been reported at an all-time high due to supply shortages - a situation that may be familiar to some consumers in Saudi Arabia.