This week brought the news that, following testing by the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI), some 27,402t or US$49.8m of Nestlé's Maggi noodles had to be recalled from the market due to allegedly high levels of lead. But what do you do with 27,402t of noodles deemed unsafe for human consumption?
The solution was incineration. Five cement plants will take 40 days, which started on 9 June 2015, to consume all of the noodles as an alternative fuel. "This was the most environment-friendly solution to destroy the recalled noodles," said Luca Fichera, executive vice president of Nestlé's supply chain in India.
India's fuel supply is notoriously unreliable. Coal is the dominant fuel used for cement and power production in India, however, supplies have been inconstant in terms of both quality and quantity for some time now. To shore up the coal supply, the government cancelled, reallocated and auctioned 214 of the 218 coal blocks in India, starting in September 2014. According to local media, Coal India, which still operates most of the blocks, is now expected to increase its coal production capacity by as much as 60Mt in 2015, following 7% production growth in the 2014 - 2015 financial year. However, there is still a major coal shortage in the country and recent reports by India's coal ministry suggest that the new coal linkages will increase coal costs. The new coal linkage process will see sales go via an auction system instead of a static price. Coal costs for cement producers are expected to rise by as much as 25% as a result.
Given India's long-standing fuel supply problems, its cement producers may wish to learn from the use of Nestlé's Maggi noodles as alternative fuels in cement plants. Instead of viewing the coal shortage as a challenge, it might instead be considered an opportunity to increase alternative fuel use, reducing costs and moving to more environmentally-friendly cement production. In addition to the standard industrial, municipal and household waste, among others, India might look to use some of the large quantities of waste biomass that must surely be produced from its agricultural sector. Like the game, 'Hungry, hungry hippos,' India's cement plants could consume a wide variety of nearby wastes in place of coal.
Valentines 2015 - Love is in the air for India’s cement producers
Valentines Day 2015 (14 February 2015) saw the kick-off of India's first round of coal mine auctions - who said that the commercialisation of Valentines Day is a bad thing? For those not following the story, here's a brief summary of the key events that have led to the auctions:
Coal, the main fuel used for cement and power production in India, has been in short supply in recent years due to the shortcomings of state-owned Coal India Ltd (CIL), which produces around 80% of India's coal and owns 90% of its coal mines. In 2013-2014, CIL produced 462Mt of coal, missing a target of 482Mt. Demand is expected to reach 950Mt/yr by 2016 - 2017. Numerous cement plants have had to temporarily cease production due to inadequate coal supplies. This is in spite of India's estimated 302Bnt of coal reserves, more than enough to supply both the power and cement industries. Coalgate indeed!
On 24 September 2014, India's Supreme Court cancelled 214 of the 218 coal blocks that had been allocated since 1993. The blocks were for captive use by the cement, steel and power industries, but the allocation process had been accused of lacking transparency. Of the cancelled blocks, 12 belonged to cement companies. The re-allocation of the cancelled blocks commenced in December 2014, when 36 of the 98 viable coal blocks were allocated. A transparent auction process for 21 of the cancelled blocks for end-usage in power, cement and iron production started on 14 February 2015. In March 2015, a further 23 blocks will be auctioned. CIL was requested to steer clear of the bidding by the Indian government.
Reliance Cement and Jaiprakash Associates, as well as Aditya Birla Group's Hindalco Industries, have all won coal mines during the first three days of bidding. Prices ranged from US$22.5/t to US$45.9/t. UltraTech Cement and JSW Cement both placed bids, but have so far been beaten by rivals. There are still many opportunities for cement producers to win coal mines, although whether the locations are suitable is another matter.
With captive coal mines in hand for India's luckiest cement producers, fuel shortages should become a problem of the past. As India's coal-fired power companies are also bidding fiercely in the auctions, power supplies throughout the country should become more reliable. However, one only needs to look at Afghanistan's Ghori I cement plant to see that having a captive coal mine is not always the answer to fuel shortages; due to internal disputes and poor mining equipment, its coal mine production is poor and the plant operates only intermittently. Hopefully, any cement companies new to coal mining will invest in equipment wisely and ensure an efficient supply chain. As with any large purchase, or indeed Valentines Day, India's coal mine auctions are very much a case of caveat emptor...
A rosy week for the global cement industry
The single most notable observation regarding the last seven days is that the cement industry news has been overwhelmingly positive. After many years of consolidations, buy-outs and financial losses, it seems the global cement industry is finally turning itself around, with reports citing numerous expansion projects and growing cement demand in most regions.
The Indian government is taking control of its coal shortage problem with the appointment of a new Inter-Ministerial Task Force (IMTF) to rationalise existing coal resources. India's Ultratech Cement reported a 12% increase in cement sales in the April - June 2014 period, while both Shree Cement and Maha Cement are investing heavily to increase production capacity for the Indian and nearby Sri Lankan markets. In Myanmar, Thailand's Siam Cement Group (SCG) plans to construct a new 1.8Mt/yr capacity cement plant, while China's Guangdong Province has cut another 3.23Mt/yr of cement production capacity to meet overcapacity issues and reduce harmful emissions.
Signs also point to an anticipated upswing in cement demand in Europe. The UK's Hope Construction Materials has invested in 36 new Mercedes-Benz trucks for cement dispatch, while in Croatia, Holcim has predicted a 15% revenue increase in 2015, having finally completed consolidation of its unprofitable operations. Eurocement plans to construct a new 2.4Mt/yr capacity cement plant at the site of its Akhangarancement plant in Uzbekistan, although the existing plant is currently under scrutiny by the State Competition Committee and the subject of a nationalisation attempt by the Uzbek authorities.
In the US, Eagle Materials has reported a 4% increase in cement sales volumes in the April – June 2014 period, while Holcim has broken ground on its Hagerstown, Maryland cement plant modernisation project. Similarly, cement demand in Latin and South America continues to grow. Cemex Latam Holdings reported a 6% year-on-year increase in cement sales for the first half of 2014, while Mexico's Cemex reported that net sales grew by 4% year-on-year during the second quarter of 2014. Cemento Andino is building a new line that will triple the cement production capacity of its Trujillo plant in Venezuela to 600,000t/yr.
In Africa, Tanga Cement Company Limited (TCCL) plans to increase its cement production capacity, having signed an agreement to double its power supply to 40MW. Tunisia's Carthage Cement has reported a 419% increase in turnover for the first six months of 2014, while in Egypt, Suez Cement reported a 1% increase in cement demand. Lafarge's Nigerian subsidiary, Ashaka Cement, is fast-tracking the expansion of its Gombe State plant to meet demand, while the Standards Organisation of Nigeria (SON) is forging ahead to improve cement standards and consumer confidence. ARM Cement's revenues grew by 16% for the first half of 2014, including a 10% increase in Kenya and a 33% increase in Tanzania.
Finally, Lafarge and Holcim are moving forward with their mega-merger, officially notifying various competition authorities around the world. While the global cement industry will undergo some major changes as a result, the upheaval could prove positive for those players willing to seize the day.