Displaying items by tag: Ukraine

Russia: Holcim said that it has received interest from over 30 possible buyers for its Russian business. The group announced that it would sell the assets, including three cement plants, in March 2022, after the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022.

Chief executive officer (CEO) Jan Jenisch said that the sale would need to be handled ‘with very great diligence.’ He continued "We don't expect to write it off completely. I would hope this business has a value." Jenisch asked investors and commentators to ‘give us a couple of months’ to ‘get more clarity.’

Italy: Buzzi Unicem’s net sales grew by 17.2% year-on-year to Euro800m in the first quarter of 2022 from Euro682m in the same period in 2021. Its cement and ready-mixed concrete sales volumes rose by 2.9% to 6.36Mt and 6% to 2.69Mm³ respectively. The group reported growing sales volumes in Central Europe, Poland, the Czech Republic and the US but it noted a slowdown in Italy. Sales volumes were also disrupted in Ukraine and Russia due to the ongoing war between the countries. The group added that its prices were ‘markedly’ up in all markets where it operates to offset rising prices of raw materials and energy.

The company said that in Ukraine it was forced to suspend nearly all of the production and commercial activities at both of its plants when Russia invaded the country. In Russia it said that retaliatory economic sanctions led by the US and European Union had led to a “significant revision of the country's growth prospects.” Local sales volumes significantly slowed down in March 2022 after hostilities started but local operations still managed to report some growth in sales even in spite negative currency exchange effects. Buzzi Unicem said that, “Due to the sanctions imposed on Russia by the European institutions, we decided to immediately withdraw from any operational involvement in the activities carried out by the subsidiary OOO SLK Cement in Russia. Consequently, further strategic initiatives in the country will be suspended.”

Denmark: FLSmidth’s sales were US$670m in the first quarter of 2022, up by 27% year-on-year. Its earnings before interest, taxation and amortisation (EBITA) rose by 59% to US$43m. The supplier’s cement business recorded a sales increase of 10%. This contributed to a continuation in the ‘positive trend’ in earnings from the end of 2021, along with improvements from executed reshaping activities. The business made a property sale worth US$3.27m. In light of the results for the quarter, the company announced that it has maintained its guidance of US$2.49 – 2.71bn consolidated sales and US$783 – 855m in cement business sales in 2022.

Chief executive officer Mikko Keto said “The first quarter of 2022 saw a strong momentum in order intake driven by both mining and cement.” Keto expanded “Our cement business has continued its positive development on improving profitability.”

Regarding the on-going Russian invasion of Ukraine, he said “Our key priority in this challenging time of war has been on the safety and well-being of our employees. We closely follow this tragic situation to ensure we take the right responsible decisions from a humanitarian, legal, and financial point of view.”

Many first quarter financial results for cement producers are out already and what can be seen so far deserves discussion. The first observation is that the sales revenues of Chinese companies have suffered compared to their international peers. As can be seen in Graph 1 (below) CNBM increased its sales slightly in the first quarter of 2022 but Anhui Conch and China Resources Cement (CRC) had significant falls. Stronger results from CNBM’s non-cement production subsidiaries released so far suggest that the parent company’s slow performance is likely due to the cement market. The China Cement Association has reported that national cement output dropped by 12% year-on-year to 387Mt in the first quarter of 2022. It blamed this on the latest local coronavirus wave, limited construction project funds and poor weather.

Graph 1: Sales revenues in the first quarter of 2022 from selected cement producers. Source: Company financial reports. Note: SCG data is for its building materials division only.

Outside of China sales revenue growth has been better with Holcim and Dangote Cement leading the companies presented here. Holcim attributed its success to “strong demand, acquisitions and pricing”. Demand and pricing have been familiar refrains in many of the results reports this quarter. The undertone though has been the destabilising effects upon energy prices by the ongoing war in Ukraine. Holcim’s head Jan Jenisch summed it up as navigating “challenging times, from the pandemic to geopolitical uncertainty.” The producers with operations in the Americas and Europe seem to have coped with this so far mostly due to resurgent markets. Quarterly sales revenue growth for Holcim, CRH (not shown in the graphs) and Cemex each exceeded 10% year-on-year in both of these regions.

The regionally focused companies presented here have suffered more. India-based UltraTech Cement said that its energy costs grew by 48%, with prices of petcoke and coal doubling during the period. Nigeria-based Dangote Cement reported that its group sales volumes were down 3.6% mainly due to energy supply challenges in Nigeria. Internationally, its operations relying on cement and clinker imports – in Ghana, Sierra-Leone and Cameroon – were also hit by high freight rates caused by global supply chain issues. Thailand-based SCG said that national demand for cement demand fell by 3% due to negative geopolitical effects causing inflation, a delay to the recovery of tourism and a generally subdued market.

Graph 2: Cement sales volumes in the first quarter of 2022 from selected cement producers. Source: Company financial reports.

It’s too early to read much into it but one final point is worth considering from cement sales volumes in the first quarter of 2022. They have appeared to fall for the companies that have actually released the data. The reasons for CRC in China and Dangote Cement in Sub-Saharan Africa have been covered above. Holcim’s volume decline was 2% on a like-for-like basis and the others were all very small changes.

To summarise, it’s been a good quarter for those cement producers covered here with operations in North American and Europe. Energy instability caused by the war in Ukraine so far seems to have been passed on to consumers through higher prices with no apparent ill effect. The regional producers have suffered more, with the Chinese ones having to cope with falling demand and the others finding it harder to absorb mounting energy costs and supply chain issues. Plenty more first quarter results are due from other cement companies in the next few days and weeks and it will be interesting to see whether these trends hold or if others are taking place.

Spain: Cementos Molins recorded first-quarter consolidated sales of Euro274m in 2022, up by 23% year-on-year from first-quarter 2021 levels. The group's net profit for the period fell by 34% year-on-year to Euro22m. It attributed this to material, power and transport costs inflation. During the quarter, Cementos Molins acquired Hanson Hispania's Catalonian ready-mix concrete and aggregates operations. It says that its 0.8x debt-to-earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) ratio positions it well to continue with the execution of its Strategic Plan 2020-2023.

Chief executive officer (CEO) Julio Rodríguez said “The year 2022 has an uncertain and highly complex global environment, in which the war in Ukraine and its global effects are added to the previously existing problems of costs inflation and supply chain disruptions. Despite this complex environment, we expect to continue in 2022 the path of solid results achieved in previous years."

Russia: Eurocement has started an initiative to reduce its reliance on spare parts purchased from outside of the country. The programme is designed to start a phased transition to in-house production of components. One of the first examples of the scheme has been the development and installation of a clutch for a mill at the Sengileevsky cement plant.

The cement producer hopes to source at least 90% of the parts it requires domestically. At present it says that around 30% of the equipment used in the local cement sector is imported. The estimated economic effect will be around Euro14m.

The company has also announced an unscheduled indexation of staff wages to over 7000 workers at 16 cement plants. Indexing of wages is typically used to compensate for inflation. Other measures have also included food support. Vyacheslav Shmatov, the general director of Eurocement, said ““We have decided to increase our support measures for our employees during this difficult time in order to strengthen our work teams. Eurocement is, first of all, people, so the company will continue to take care of its employees.”

International economic sanctions were implemented upon Russia by European and North American countries in response to its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

Serbia: The impacts of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine mean that the Serbian cement industry’s operations are ‘endangered’ and will likely fail to meet steady market demand in the coming months. Serbian Cement Industry Association director Dejana Milinkovic said that the industry relied on Russia and Ukraine for 50% of its coal supply in 2021.

In 2021, the industry produced 2.6Mt of cement, up by 10% year-on-year, operating close to 100% capacity utilisation.

Indonesia: Donny Arsal, the chief executive officer of Semen Indonesia, has told the government that the ongoing war in Ukraine has negatively affected supplies of coal and kraft paper to the cement industry.

The head of the state-owned company said that the international price of coal had driven local mines to export it rather than sell it locally at capped prices, according to the Jakarta Post newspaper. This had made it more difficult for cement producers to buy coal at the lower price. The Indonesian coal index (HBA) price rose to high of US$288/t in April 2022 following the introduction of international economic sanctions but the local domestic market obligation (DMO) price is US$70/t. Around 160Mt of coal is sold at the capped price. The majority of this goes to power generation and the remaining quarter of this is made available to cement and other industries.

Arsal lobbied the government to clarify its supply policy for DMO. He said that the cement sector needs 16Mt/yr of coal. Semen Indonesia needs about half of this. However, at present, it is only receiving about 63% of its coal requirements at the DMO price.

Arsal also mentioned that imports of kraft paper from Russia had stopped since the war started. Semen Indonesia uses the paper to make cement bags. Most of its kraft is sourced from Russia. The company spends around US$68m/yr on paper. It is now switching to using a woven material instead.

Vicat’s plans to buy another 42% stake in Sinai Cement became public this week. Once completed, the France-based company should own 98% of the Egyptian company, based on previously published ownership figures. The announcement heralds a rapprochement in the relationship between the cement producer and the Egyptian government.

Last year Vicat raised a case against the government with the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) over an argument about how it could invest in Sinai Cement as a foreign company. All seems forgiven and forgotten now with a settlement agreement signed in March 2022 between Rania el Mashat, the Minister of International Cooperation on behalf of the Egyptian government, and Guy Sidos, the chairman and chief executive officer of Vicat Group. Local press reported that the government is trying to attract more direct foreign investment. Sinai Cement reported a loss attributable to its parent company of around US$19.1m in 2021, down from a loss of US$30.3m in 2020. However, its sales rose by 63% year-on-year to US$78m.

Sinai Cement has some specific operating issues related to its geographic position in the Sinai Peninsula and ongoing security concerns. Yet its mixed fortunes also sum up some of the continuing challenges the Egyptian cement industry is facing. After years of overcapacity, the government introduced reduced cement production quotas in July 2021 and this is mostly perceived to have improved prices in the second half of the year. Vicat described the arrangement as having capped the local market at 65% of its production capacity and it said that prices recovered ‘significantly’ as a result in the second half of 2021. Cemex’s regional chief Carlos Gonzalez told local press that the move had given plants “A glimmer of hope for the return of balance to the cement market.” The company has also announced a US$20m local investment backing up this view. Not all the foreign multinational companies entirely agreed, with HeidelbergCement reporting a ‘sharp’ decline in sales volumes although chief executive officer Dominik von Achten did describe the country as ‘coming back’ in an earnings call about his company’s financial results in 2021. Solomon Baumgartner Aviles, the chief executive officer of Lafarge Egypt, was also cooler about the production cap in a press interview in October 2021, describing it as too early to assess how well the cap was working and noting that the gap between supply and demand was still large.

Vicat said in its annual report for 2021 that, “Provided no further adverse geopolitical, health or security developments occur, the current climate is unlikely to jeopardise the prospects of an improvement in the subsidiary’s profitability, which should begin to gradually occur.” The geopolitical bit was timely given that Russia’s war in Ukraine started on 24 February 2022. It also targets the latest problem hitting Egyptian cement producers: energy costs. The head of Arabian Cement told Enterprise Press that initially some producers had opted to temporarily stop production and use stocks instead to attempt to try and wait until the energy price volatility ended. However, it stayed high so the cost of cement has gone up generally. Producers are now trying to switch to using a high ratio of natural gas, such as 10%, but this is dependent on the government letting them.

The Egyptian government, for its part, is facing a decision whether to supply subsidised gas for domestic industry or to export to Europe. The backstory here is that Egyptian cement producers are facing yet another step change in fuel supply. In the mid-2010s lots of plants switched from heavy fuel oil and gas to coal. High international coal prices could be heralding another change.

Alongside this the value of Egypt’s cement exports rose by 151% year-on-year to US$456m in 2021 from US$182m in 2020. The Cement Division of the Federation of Egyptian Industries has attributed this to growth mainly on the African market. This trend continued in January and February 2022 with cement exports up by 141% year-on-year to US$104m from US$43m. The main destinations were Ghana, Cameroon, Ivory Coast and Libya.

HeidelbergCement summed up the current state of the Egyptian cement market in its 2021 annual report as follows “The development of the Egyptian cement market continues to be determined by government intervention.” What happens next is very much in the hands of the state as it decides whether to extend the production cap, which fuels to subsidise, whether to allow exports and where to invest in infrastructure projects. One variation on this theme may be local decarbonisation targets. At the end of March 2022 the Global Cement and Concrete Association (GCCA) launched a series of Net Zero Accelerator initiatives, including one in Egypt. How a country that produces more cement than it needs reduces its CO₂ emissions presents another challenge for manufacturers and the government to grapple with.

Europe: The Council of Europe has banned imports of cement from Russia as part of a fifth set of economic and individual sanctions. The import ban, in response to the war in Ukraine, also includes wood, fertilisers, seafood and alcoholic spirits. It has been valued at Euro5.5bn/yr. Other measures within the European Union (EU) include blocking coal and other solid fossil fuel imports from August 2022, stopping access of Russian flagged ships at ports, banning Russian or Belorussian road transport within the region and additional restrictions on the export on materials such as jet fuel, computer parts and certain types of machinery. Imports of coal into the EU are currently valued at Euro8bn/yr.

Josep Borrell, High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy at the European Council said, “These latest sanctions were adopted following the atrocities committed by Russian armed forces in Bucha and other places under Russian occupation. The aim of our sanctions is to stop the reckless, inhuman and aggressive behaviour of the Russian troops and make clear to the decision makers in the Kremlin that their illegal aggression comes at a heavy cost.”