Global Cement News

Brazil: Otmar Hubscher has been appointed as the new chief executive officer of Secil. He replaces Gonçalo Salazar Leite, according to the Negócios newspaper. Hubscher, a Swiss national, was previously the head of LafargeHolcim's Brazilian operations.

The other shock news from the US last week was LafargeHolcim’s poor cement sales volumes in North America so far in 2016. HeidelbergCement’s third quarter financial results followed and they give us an opportunity to compare the fortunes of the world’s two largest cement producers either side of a high profile merger.

Graph 1 - Changes in cement sales volumes for LafargeHolcim, HeidelbergCement and selected European multinational producers in the first three quarters of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 (%). Data labels are the volumes reported in 2016. Source: Company reports.

Graph 1 shows the effect of HeidelbergCement’s completion of its acquisition of Italcementi in mid-October 2016. Now that the purchase is complete its sales volumes have taken a whopping 20% boost to 73Mt. LafargeHolcim by comparison is struggling to hold sales. Although do note the difference in sales volumes between the two largest cement producers in the world. LafargeHolcim has sold nearly 2.5 times the amount of cement as HeidelbergCement so far in 2016.

Graph 2 - Changes in sales revenue for LafargeHolcim, HeidelbergCement and selected European multinational producers in the first three quarters of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 (%). Data labels are the sales reported in 2016. Source: Company reports.

The point to take away from Graph 2 is the huge difference turbulent currency exchange rates are having on the financial returns of these companies. Like-for-like reporting of sales revenue hasn’t helped LafargeHolcim to grow but it is making a big difference to the sales of Cemex and Vicat.

Focusing on LafargeHolcim, the group has had a tough time of it so far in 2016 with falling cement sales volumes and falling sales revenue year-on-year on both a straight comparison basis and like-for-like one. Like many European cement producers negative currency effects have plagued its financial reporting. However, unlike many of its European-based competitors its like-for-like sales figures have also declined.

Particular problems have been noted in Nigeria as well as Brazil, Indonesia and Malaysia. It has managed to keep its profit indicators such as earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) mostly rising through the first three quarters of 2016 on a like-for-like basis. Yet, to give an idea of the effect fuel supply problems had in Nigeria in the third quarter of 2016 on the group’s entire bottom line, excluding Nigeria from its results would have seen its adjusted operating EBITDA rise significantly. With regard to the rest of the world, cement sales volumes have fallen in every one of the group’s territories so far in 2016 including, worryingly, its North America region. Here, falling cement sales volumes have been blamed on delays to infrastructure projects and bad weather.

By contrast, HeidelbergCement has reported rising sales revenue and profit indicators such as earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) although its profit has fallen. Most of the good financial cheer has been derived from the new Italcementi assets although most of its territorial cement sales revenues have grown even when the effects of the new purchase have been excluded. The exception has been Africa where the group mentioned problems in Ghana due to local competition and imports.

The comparison between the world’s largest European-based cement producers is stark. LafargeHolcim made a big show of announcing the merger between Lafarge and Holcim in mid-2015. Today it is battening down the hatches as its tries to claw profit from asset sales and synergy savings. HeidelbergCement almost casually announced that it had finalised its acquisition of Italcementi in October 2016 and it has proceeded to rack up the profits at its first subsequent financial report. However, HeidelbergCement may be waiting for the regulators to finish approving parts of the deal before it makes a final announcement. For example, the Federal Trade Commission only approved the sale of various US assets on 15 November 2016. Meanwhile, the credits ratings agencies passed their own judgement when Standard & Poor upgraded its rating of HeidelbergCement earlier this week.

LafargeHolcim remains a much larger company than HeidelbergCement despite the problems it is facing so provided it can keep the investors happy it should be fine as its whittles itself down to a more sustainable shape. To this end the Swiss press has been speculating whether chief executive officer Eric Olsen will announce job cuts and plant closures at an investors meeting on 18 November 2016.

Germany: Jens Michael Wegmann is standing down as CEO of Thyssenkrupp’s Industrial Solutions division with immediate effect and leaving the company. Wegmann accepted a golden bracelet for his wife from a Pakistani business partner, according to Reuters.

“I made a mistake which I greatly regret and I am now paying the consequences. I realise that my conduct in my dealings with a sales partner was not in line with Thyssenkrupp’s values and that I can no longer credibly drive the necessary changes at Industrial solutions. For this reason I am standing down as CEO of Thyssenkrupp Industrial Solutions – irrespective of legal issues and the findings of the on-going internal investigation. I would like to wish all employees the very best for the future and every success in the continuing implementation of the transformation,” said Wegmann in a statement.

Stefan Gesing, chief financial officer of Industrial Solutions, will assume Jens Michael Wegmann’s duties and serve as chair of the business area board on an acting basis. The group will decide on a permanent successor in a structured process.

In June 2016, the polls said that the UK would remain in the European Union (EU), but now we have the prospect of Brexit. Democrat supporters in the US now know how the UK's 'Remainers' feel. The unthinkable has happened: the so-called 'Deplorables' have taken over the asylum. Donald Trump has won the US presidential election and he will be the 45th US president, after confounding all the polls, the media, the analysts and the commentators. He'll be able to appoint a swathe of right-leaning office-holders, including a crucial replacement for the late Antonin Scalia on the US Supreme Court. This will change the direction of US law-making for years, possibly decades, towards a less-liberal and more conservative outlook.

Trump will also be aided by having Republican majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives and will actually be able to get things done. President Obama had to fight hard for eight years to achieve anything, and finally had to fall back on enacting laws by presidential dictat or 'Executive Orders.' 'The Donald' will not have to stoop so low, and once he takes office will effectively be 'sweeping with the wind.'

Trump looks set to change US policy in a number of areas, including being less conciliatory towards America's foes ("I'm going to bomb the s••t out of ISIS"), taxing imports and tearing up trade agreements and rolling back US environmental efforts (he has promised to abolish the US Environmental Protection Agency, to cancel the Paris climate change deal, to sanction more drilling for oil and to approve the Keystone XL oil pipeline the fourth phase of which was recently rejected by President Obama). Who knows what else he has planned?

Well, one thing that we do know is that Trump's election is very probably great news for the US cement industry.

Early on in his victory speech, moments after receiving a telephone call from Hillary Clinton conceding defeat, Trump laid out the first step of his plan to 'Make America Great Again:' building US infrastructure. Trump said: "We are going to fix our inner cities and rebuild our highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, schools, hospitals. We’re going to rebuild our infrastructure, which will become, by the way, second to none. And we will put millions of our people to work as we rebuild it." He didn't actually mention cement (nor did he mention a 'big beautiful wall'), but all of these projects will require plenty of cement and concrete. Whether they voted for him or not (and Trump noted that there are those 'who have chosen not to support me in the past, of which there were a few people'), workers in the cement industry will be celebrating the prospect of fuller order sheets, higher prices, better profitability and more overtime. From a current GDP growth rate of around 1%, some have suggested a surge past 3%/yr and beyond during a Trump presidency. The crucial question, often overlooked, is "How are we going to pay for all this investment?" With the US debt heading towards US$20Tn, perhaps Trump's history as a Democrat - and all the tax-raising territory that comes with that position - might come in handy after all.

Trump has indicated that he's already looking to a second term ("I look very much forward to being your president, and hopefully at the end of two years or three years or four years, or maybe even eight years...") based on what he might achieve in his first term. Well, let's see. Donald Trump's deeds now need to speak louder than Donald Trump's words.

Jamaica: Peter Donkersloot Ponce has been appointed as the general manager of Caribbean Cement Company with effect from 7 November 2016. He replaces Alejandro Varés Leal who was originally appointed in May 2015 subject to an agreement between Caribbean Cement’s owner Trinidad Cement and Cemex. However, Varés Leal has taken up a promotion with Cemex. In accordance with the Agreement, Ponce was proposed by Cemex to replace Varés Leal.