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Update on Kyrgyzstan, January 2024
Written by David Perilli, Global Cement
03 January 2024
Kyrgyzstan had a couple of prominent stories in the press towards the end of December 2023 with news of a new plant and continuing data showing that cement production has grown.
The Chüy project was first announced by the government in mid-2022 when it signed an investment agreement with a consortium comprising representatives from Terek-Tash and ZENIT. More information on the unit emerged this week when the Russian-Kyrgyz Development Fund revealed that it made a loan of US$45m towards the scheme based in the northern Chüy region of the country. The plan is to build a 1.7Mt/yr plant with a budget of US$160m. Equipment to build the plant is reportedly being sourced from companies in China and Russia. Special features of the project include a waste heat recovery unit and the use of ash from the Bishkek Thermal Power Plant in the production process. The plant is expected to be launched in 2024.
Graph 1: Cement production in Kyrgyzstan, 2018 - 2023. Source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic.
One reason why the government might be keen to build a new plant is because cement production has mostly grown in each of the past five years, with the exception of 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic began. In 2022 it increased by 7% year-on-year to 2.7Mt and the latest data from the National Statistical Committee indicates that it rose by 11% year-on-year to 2.6Mt in the 11 months to the end of November 2023. If this rate held in December 2023 then it looks likely that the country will have produced just under 3Mt in 2023. At the same time the country’s exports of cement have also been falling. In November 2023 the government of Kazakhstan’s Jambyl Region said that it had found investors to support construction of a railway line between the locale and Kyrgyzstan due to a ‘building boom’ in the latter country.
Earlier in 2023 the Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) said it had earmarked US$48m for the modernisation of equipment at the Kant Cement plant, operated by Kazakhstan-based United Cement Group (UCG), also in Chüy region. The plant is the biggest in Kyrgyzstan, running five wet process production lines, according to the Global Cement Directory 2023. The EDB linked its investment to a hydroelectric project in the country that it is also funding, pointing out that such structures require lots of cement and concrete. This follows a previous upgrade project by owner Kazakhstan-based United Cement Group (UCG) at the plant from 2021 to March 2023. This involved efficiency and environmental gains such as installing bag filters and converting a cement grinding mill to a closed circuit. China-based and CNBM subsidiary China Triumph International Engineering was the lead project partner. In early December 2023 UCG announced that it had signed another contract with China Triumph International Engineering over the summer to build a new dry production line at the site with a clinker capacity of 0.8Mt/yr. At the time of the announcement it said that preparation of the construction site had started and that work had begun on installing a pile foundation.
Finally, one more Kyrgyz news story of note in recent months was the announcement in October 2023 that the government had effectively nationalised the Kurmentinsky Cement plant in Issyk-Kul Region. The reason why it had done so was unusual because it said that a 93% share in the company running the plant had been transferred to the State Property Management Agency following the death of its former owner. The former owner was one Kamchybek Kolbaev, an organised crime boss who had been listed on the US Department of State Transnational Organized Crime Rewards Program and was reportedly killed by state security services in early October 2023. The remaining shares in the plant have been passed to its workers and the government further said that it intends to upgrade the site.
The cement sector in Kyrgyzstan is modest and in need of modernisation. It appears to be having a resurgence at the moment though with production mounting and at least two major plant projects underway. The country is in a compelling position economically and geopolitically given its membership of the Russia-backed Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and its proximity to China. Various projects backed by the latter’s Belt and Road Initiative, both underway and forthcoming, would certainly appear to benefit from more efficient local cement production and higher volumes.
CRH looks south
Written by David Perilli, Global Cement
20 December 2023
We end 2023 with the news that CRH and Barro Group are preparing to acquire AdBri in Australia. The two companies have teamed up to buy all the ordinary shares in the building materials company that they do not already own for about US$750m. Barro already owns a 43% stake in AdBri and CRH owns just under 5% via a cash settled derivative. The plan is for CRH to buy the remaining shares so it ends up with a 57% holding in total. It requires shareholder approval at AdBri, regulatory consent and other conditions to be met to move forward.
Barro Group has been increasing its stake gradually in AdBri over the last 25 years. It hit 43% in 2019 and subsequently the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) investigated it. Barro Group’s course was cleared in 2020, with the ACCC determining that the acquisition would not ‘substantially lessen’ competition in the market between the two companies that overlap for the supply of cement, ready-mixed concrete and aggregates. It also found Barro and AdBri would continue to face competition locally from Boral, Holcim and Hanson. However the ACCC added that it might reopen its investigation if it received further information that altered its conclusion at that time.
The dynamic between Barro Group and AdBri is complicated because they are, at present, both partners and rivals. Barro owns a significant minority stake in AdBri, and its managing director, Raymond Barro, became the chair of the latter company in 2019. The two companies operate a joint venture, Independent Cement and Lime, which distributes cement and lime in Victoria and New South Wales, and runs a slag cement grinding plant in Melbourne. They sell goods to each other too. Yet Barro Group and AdBri also compete against each other, principally in the sale of concrete. Comments made by Raymond Barro to the Australian Financial Review newspaper indicate that this competition looks set to continue even if CRH and Barro Group buy AdBri, given the family ownership structure of the former company. To this end AdBri set up a governance framework for its board in 2015 in part to handle the interaction between the business interests of itself and Barro Group, and this was further revised in 2019. Due to this convoluted relationship, it set up an independent board committee to assess the current proposal from CRH and Barro Group with Barro family nominee directors removed from the consideration process. It then approved the proposal to the next step of negotiations.
The general consensus is that the CRH-Barro Group deal looks likely to succeed. CRH has a limited presence in Australia and Barro Group’s ownership of AdBri doesn’t seem to change much under the limited details released publicly about the proposal. Potential problems could arise from a rival bidder, if the ACCC decided to re-evaluate the situation or if the Foreign Investment Review Board became involved, but we’ll have to wait and see about these. AdBri owns two of the country’s five clinker plants, both in South Australia. Subsidiary Cockburn Cement also used to produce clinker at its Munster plant in Western Australia but this moved over to grinding-only in the mid-2010s. The company also runs three grinding plants. One of these, Cockburn Cement’s Kwinana plant, has been undergoing a costly upgrade project that overshot its original estimate. Purely in terms of active integrated cement production capacity, this places the deal at US$875/t, a high figure but not as much as CRH stumped up to buy Martin Marietta Materials’ South Texas business in November 2023.
This then leads to how CRH and Barro Group might interact running the business in the future. CRH is by far the bigger company, in charge of a multinational building materials concern, and among the world’s largest producers of cement and concrete outside of China. Its decision to make a large acquisition outside of Europe and North America marks a turning point in its growth strategy since the late 2010s. In a statement, CRH’s head Albert Manifold was quick to compare how Australia was “similar in nature to the Southern US and Central and Eastern Europe where we have a significant presence.” Barro Group, meanwhile, has doggedly been taking over AdBri bit by bit over a quarter of a century. What it gains from the current proposal is mostly unknown, but simplifying the ownership structure and delisting from the Australian Stock Exchange could offer a number of advantages to it. Their ambitions appear aligned for the moment but this may not stay the case forever.
That’s it from Global Cement Weekly for 2023. Enjoy the seasonal break if you have one. Global Cement Weekly will return on 3 January 2024.
Who will build the cement plants of tomorrow?
Written by David Perilli, Global Cement
13 December 2023
Sinoma International Engineering revealed this week that it has signed a Euro218m contract to supply a new clinker production line for Holcim Belgium. The scope of the deal covers building the new line from limestone unloading via train to clinker transportation and storage. Provisional acceptance and first clinker are stipulated to occur within about four years, by late 2027. Holcim Belgium operates the Obourg Plant, its only integrated unit in the country, and the unit has been preparing to build a new line as part of its Go4Zero project.
Two main points compete for one’s attention with the project at the Obourg Plant. Firstly, this may be the first time a large Europe-based cement producer has publicly contracted a China-based supplier to build a new production line. Secondly, the new line is part of a process to first replace two wet kilns at the site with a dry kiln. This is part of a grand plan at the site to add oxyfuel technology to the plant and then start capturing most of the CO2 emitted for sequestration in the North Sea.
On the first point, China-based Sinoma International Engineering reported to the Shanghai Stock Exchange in early December 2023 that it had signed a contract for the project. Holcim Belgium has not said that it has appointed the subsidiary of CNBM but this is not unusual. Buyers are at liberty to name suppliers, or not as may be the case. Holcim has been talking about the Go4Zero project for several years though, so appointing a lead contractor is not surprising.
Yet, some cement companies in Europe have previously been circumspect about revealing the use of China-based suppliers. Lafarge France, for example, did not appear to publicly name the involvement of Sinoma International Engineering and its subsidiaries on the construction of a new line at its Martres-Tolosane cement plant between 2019 and 2022, although Lafarge Poland did say in 2020 that it had contracted China Triumph International Engineering for an upgrade to its Małogoszcz cement plant. No doubt there have been other plant projects in Europe from China-based suppliers that Global Cement Weekly is unaware of. It is also worth considering that just because a lead contractor on a plant project is from a particular country it doesn’t mean that the equipment and other sub-contractors necessarily are. And, of course, to add to the confusion, some Europe-based equipment suppliers are owned by companies based in China.
This leads to the second point. Holcim Belgium’s eventual goal is to set up a full-scale carbon capture, transportation and sequestration (CCUS) operation at Obourg using oxyfuel technology by the end of the 2020s. Spending over Euro200m on building a new (but conventional) production line is not trivial but it is being presented as one step towards creating a cement plant for the net zero age. To this end Holcim Belgium has been less shy in naming its partners for the second phase of the project: Air Liquide; Fluxys; and TotalEnergies. This may be due to the collaborative nature of this phase though and the need to apply for European Union (EU) funding to support it. In July 2023 Holcim disclosed that the EU Innovation Fund had allocated grants for three of its projects including the one at Obourg.
For reference, a number of other full-scale oxyfuel projects have been announced in Europe including in Germany at Heidelberg Materials' Geseke cement plant, Holcim Deutschland's Lägerdorf plant in Germany and Schwenk Zement’s Mergelstetten plant. Another one is planned for Heidelberg Materials’ CBR's Antoing cement plant in Belgium. Most of these are planned for the late 2020s or with pilots sooner. The key bit of information to consider here is that adding oxyfuel technology to a cement kiln (or building one with it to start with) makes it easier to capture CO2 from the flue gas as it is more concentrated. However, the technology is newer and less-tested than many post-combustion carbon capture methods. Hence, the world’s first full-scale CCUS unit at a cement plant, at Brevik in Norway, will use a post combustion method.
All of this begs the question about where the value will lie in building cement plants for the age of net zero? The planned work at Holcim Belgium’s Obourg Plant pretty much summarises this quandary. Building a cement production line is expensive but the cost of disposing of CO2 may become the single-biggest driver of whether a plant is profitable or not if governments are serious about reaching net zero. To that end today’s announcement from the 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP28) calling on the parties to “transition away from fossil fuels to reach net zero” is another sign of the increasing effects of the so-called ‘carbon agenda’ upon the cement sector. In which case the companies that can supply equipment to take care of the CO2 emissions start becoming more important and discussions over who supplies the rest of the kit less so. Naturally, some cement equipment suppliers are already pivoting towards this approach. Others may find different solutions. Whether this works or not is a question for the future. In the mean-time, building new plants is looking increasingly collaborative.
Update on cement at COP28
Written by David Perilli, Global Cement
06 December 2023
The Global Cement & Concrete Association (GCCA) has been cheerleading at the 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP28) in Dubai this week with the release of a progress report on the sector’s work towards reaching net zero by 2050. The headline figures are that net CO2 emissions per tonne of cementitious material fell by 23% in 2021 compared to 1990 based on Getting the Numbers Right (GNR) data. Energy efficiency improved by 19% and the fossil fuel component used by the cement sector has fallen to 80% from 98% in 1990. The GCCA has described 2020 - 2030 as the “decade to make it happen” and has set some targets to back this up. Its members intend to reduce CO2 emissions per tonne of cement by 20% by 2030 compared to 2020 levels and concrete CO2 emissions per m3 by 25% over the same time-frame.
The new developments for the cement sector at COP28 so far have been the launch of separate but apparently similar initiatives to help decarbonisation through coordination between nations. The Cement Breakthrough Agenda, backed by the government of Canada and other partners, follows the creation of the Breakthrough Agenda at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26) whereby designated governments lead so-called ‘Priority Actions’ to decarbonise various sectors. The idea is to collaborate on measures such as policies, regulations and technologies to help reduce the cost of future investment in decarbonisation. The priority actions will be developed in 2023, worked towards in 2024 and then revised on a regular basis thereafter. The German Chancellor Olaf Scholz also launched the so-called ‘Climate Club’ on 1 December 2023 to help developing nations invest in technologies to decarbonise sectors such as cement and steel production. The intention is to set up the technical groundwork for a standardised calculation of CO2 intensity in selected products, such as cement and steel, set definitions on what net zero is for these sectors and then set up a platform to connect countries with funding and technical support from governments and the private sector. Neither the Cement Breakthrough Agenda nor the Climate Club has mentioned funding though.
Additionally, Holcim announced that it had become a founding member of the Sustainable Markets Initiative’s SMI Circularity Task Force. The group aims to promote the circular economy to the private and public sector. Holcim was keen to point out that it is already recycling nearly 7Mt/yr of construction and demolition waste, with a target of 10Mt/yr pencilled in by 2025.
Other groups are not as upbeat as the GCCA though. The Global Carbon Project, for example, has estimated in its annual Global Carbon Budget that global fossil CO2 emissions are set to rise by 1.4% year-on-year to 36.8Bnt in 2023. This figure includes both the CO2 released by cement production and the CO2 uptake from cement carbonation. Ongoing research by Robbie Andrew, a greenhouse gas emissions scientist at the CICERO Center for Climate Research in Norway and the Global Carbon Project, found that process emissions by the cement sector fell for the first time since 2015 in 2022, to reach 1.61Bnt. This decrease was most likely due to China’s falling cement production in 2022, stemming from a downturn in the local real estate sector. However, both the data from GCCA and the Global Carbon Project may be right simultaneously as they look at the emissions of the cement sector in different ways.
The GCCA’s job is to advocate for the cement and concrete sector and it is presenting itself well at COP28. Since its formation, it has set up roadmaps, encouraged collaboration and innovation, and is now reporting back on its progress. Net zero remains the goal by 2050, but the GCCA is being upfront about the role carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) is expected to play after 2030 and the lack of any full-scale CCUS units so far. Yet it is tracking what has happened so far through the Green Cement Technology Tracker in conjunction with Leadership Group for Industry Transition (LeadIT).
As for the rest of COP28, various reports have been aired in the international press about whether the conference will call for a formal phase out of fossil fuels in some form or another. Whether it actually happens is another matter entirely, especially considering that the president of COP28 is the chief executive officer of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, and any eventual language would likely be vague. Yet the work by the GGCA and others has started to make the unthinkable a little more thinkable.
- UAE
- COP28
- Global Cement and Concrete Association
- GCCA
- GCW637
- Sustainability
- Getting the Numbers Right
- data
- CO2
- United Nations
- Canada
- Government
- Germany
- Cement Breakthrough Agenda
- Climate Club
- Holcim
- SMI Circularity Task Force
- construction and demolition waste
- Global Carbon Budget
- CICERO
- Emissions
- Roadmap
Taiwan Cement heads west
Written by David Perilli, Global Cement
29 November 2023
Taiwan Cement Corporation (TCC) has struck a deal to take control of the Türkiye and Portugal-based parts of OYAK’s cement business. The arrangement will see TCC grow its share of the joint-venture business in Türkiye to 60% from 40% at present and it will fully take over the Cimpor joint-venture in Portugal by purchasing OYAK’s 60% stake. Overall TCC is expected to pay around Euro740m for its acquisitions. A final agreement on the deal is expected to be signed in early December 2023.
The proposed deal follows on from when TCC originally spent US$1.1bn towards setting up joint-ventures as a junior partner with OYAK back in 2018. The situation now appears to have reversed with TCC becoming the main owner of the cement business in Türkiye and the sole owner of Cimpor in Portugal. In Türkiye this gives TCC control over the largest cement producer with seven integrated plants, three grinding plants, 47 ready-mixed concrete (RMX) plants, three aggregate quarries and one paper packaging plant. In Portugal (and Cape Verde) this puts TCC in charge of three integrated plants, two inactive grinding plants, 42 RMX plants, 15 quarries, two mortar plants and a cement bag unit.
This contrasts with last week’s news that CRH is buying one cement plant in Texas (with associated assets) for US$2.1bn. TCC is taking control of 10 plants in Türkiye and Portugal for Euro740m. It is not a fair comparison given the woes of the Turkish economy in recent years, prior joint-venture business ownership and so on. Yet it is one more example of the changing nature of cement company ownership around the world since the mid-2010s.
The state of the economy in Türkiye may well be a factor for the change in ownership at OYAK and Cimpor as well as negative exchange rate trends. High inflation has caused problems in recent years, although the government changed its stance on avoiding putting up interest rates following the elections in May 2023. Yet, in a statement about the OYAK deal, chair Nelson Chang said that “companies that do not understand carbon will not survive in the future.” His company is about to spend Euro740m and become the fifth largest cement producer in the world on the assertion that it does understand carbon. Good luck!
Accordingly, the language in the press releases both OYAK and TCC have released is all about sustainable growth and reducing carbon emissions. However, the detail on how exactly they intend to do this is vague. What is clearer though is that OYAK is hoping that TCC invests in energy storage and related industries such as lithium-ion battery additive carbon black in Türkiye. To this end a TCC subsidiary and OYAK are collaborating on a carbon black plant in Iskenderun and further investments may be in the pipeline. TCC and OYAK are also responsible for a couple of calcined clay projects in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Readers may recall that the chair of Chang pronounced in June 2023 that TCC was aiming to diversify the business towards over 50% sales from non-cement sectors by 2025. However, the share from the cement business was around 68% in 2022 and this latest deal with OYAK will likely send it in the ‘wrong’ direction. The company already has a production capacity of around 77Mt/yr from its cement plants in China and Taiwan. Majority ownership of OYAK Çimento and Cimpor Portugal will bump this up to 99Mt/yr and put the company into the top five of the world’s largest cement producers by capacity.
The final question here is what kind of owner TCC intends to be to its growing cement businesses in West Asia and Europe. Publicly at least, it has come across as a backseat investor since 2018 although it has been a minority owner. This has now changed but it will be interesting to observe whether the subsidiaries in the west will be run at arm’s length or more closely and if TCC unifies its global branding and so on. Watch this space.